Grain Markets Continue Relief Rally on Tariff Delays: Is it a Deadcat Bounce?

Allison Thompson of The Money Farm says grains markets extended gains for a second day with talk of ag exemptions and then another 30 day extension on tariffs on Mexico and Canada.

Grain and hog markets closed higher on Thursday with cattle lower.

Allison Thompson of The Money Farm says grains markets extended gains for a second day with talk of ag exemptions and then another 30 day extension on tariffs on Mexico and Canada.

Grain markets were oversold after several days of lower closes on fear of tariffs and counter measures from major trading partners.

Is it just a dead cat bounce?

Thompson says she thinks a recovery is in store but all of the markets have seen technical damage with the recent collapse and need to close back above 50 and 100 day moving averages to confirm the rally can continue.

Weekly exports were decent with corn at 35.8 million bu., soybeans at 13 million bu. and wheat at 12.4 million bu. so that was also supportive.

Hog markets also rallied on the news with Mexico the top export market for U.S. pork and fear of the product being on the retaliation list.

Cattle futures set back as the tariffs actually prevented imports from Mexico and Canada competing in the U.S. market.

However, the melt down in the stock market and the steady to $2 lower cash trade in the South at $195-$197, also weighed on the cattle futures.

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Both classes of winter wheat ended limit up on the day as USDA shocked the market with their aggressive production cuts in the May WASDE putting the crop at a 54 year low, according to Arlan Suderman, StoneX.
Agronomist Phil Long explains the critical gap between air and soil temperatures and why the “heat engine” for corn and soybeans has stalled in some areas.
USDA forecasts historic wheat lows and record soybean gains amid drought, trade tensions, and rising input costs for the 2026/27 season.
Read Next
Fresh analysis from FAPRI finds passage of year-round E15 would bring limited near-term gains to corn prices, while SRE changes would put pressure on farm income and negatively impact soybeans.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App