China
Sam Hudson with Cornbelt Marketing says corn and soybeans were firmer on inflationary buying and optimism regarding the China summit. Cattle soared with higher cash.
Jamie Gieseke with Paradigm Futures says commodities are starting to gain favor with the funds on inflation fears and that includes grains. A China deal could just add fuel to the fire.
Both classes of winter wheat ended limit up on the day as USDA shocked the market with their aggressive production cuts in the May WASDE putting the crop at a 54 year low, according to Arlan Suderman, StoneX.
Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company, says grain markets rallied on Monday adding risk premium on the war headlines but also positioning ahead of the May WASDE and China summit.
Cattle futures posted lower weekly closes and Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the action was a red flag to him since it came after record fed cash trade.
Three potentially market-moving events will test the resilience of the spring grain rally, offering a clearer direction for the new crop year’s market fundamentals.
Jerry Gulke, president of The Gulke Group, says the market is anticipating additional purchases of U.S. soybeans to be announced at the summit, in addition to other agricultural products.
Dan Basse with Ag Resource Company says grains chopped following crude oil most of the week but rallied on Friday adding in war premium. Plus, soybeans led gains on talk of China buying soybeans.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cash cattle trade hit record levels on Thursday and helped pull futures higher Friday. Grains are trying to recover from the big wash out with crude oil this week.
Jeff Hoogendoorn with Professional Ag Marketing says grains were still tied to crude oil today and corn and soybeans ended off their lows when that market recovered. Cattle fell despite record cash up to $260.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst for Barchart, says the odds are slim that the war with Iran is over. So he thinks the grain markets will soon find support.
Grain markets were all lower to start Tuesday seeing some routine profit taking after hitting new highs for the move and even some new contract highs in parts of the corn and soybean complex, according to Brady Huck with Empower Ag Trading.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says it is dangerous to try to pick a high in this cattle market but it fits the profile of a technical top.
John Heinberg with Total Farm Marketing says soybeans made fresh highs early Monday on strong crush and China export hopes ramping up to the mid-May meeting.
The soybean market looked like it was ready to breakout but Sam Hudson with Cornbelt Marketing says they hit chart resistance and saw profit taking.
However, Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says the corn and soybean markets are at a crossroads in the new crop contracts and need a catalyst to get above resistance.
Soybeans and multi-year highs in the soybean oil market led the grain complex higher on Tuesday according to Mike Minor with Professional Ag Marketing.
Soybeans saw early gains Tuesday with help from a rally in both bean oil and soybean meal and that is supporting corn says Hillari Mason with Pro Farmer. However, several other factors were supporting early strength.
Wheat futures rallied on Thursday adding weather premium with expanding drought and a mostly dry forecast for the Western third of the Plains says Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing.
DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing says funds are buying and covering short positions due to expanded drought in hard red winter wheat country on Thursday’s U.S. Drought Monitor and the lower crop conditions.
Brian Grete with CommStock Investments says soybeans were higher Wednesday on optimism about the mid-May meeting with China and corn was following.
According to Tommy Grisafi of Nesvick Trading money flow the last two sessions in the outside markets had a huge impact on ag markets.
Jon Scheve with Scheve Grain thinks the grain markets have transitioned over to trading more of its own fundamentals.
Don Roose with U.S. Commodities say soybeans followed meal and hold a premium on hopes of China business.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle market has been impressive and resilient.
Jerry Gulke president of the Gulke Group says when a market reacts negatively to positive news that’s not a good sign.
Corn, soybeans and bean oil futures ended lower on Friday fading EPA’s final Renewable Fuel Standard volumes. Dan Basse, Ag Resource Company, says the news was already priced into the markets.