Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, says corn futures closed higher on technical buying and short covering after holding chart support and the spreads even tightened.
National Farmers Union (NFU) today sent letters to President Trump and Congressional leaders urging immediate action to provide economic relief for family farmers and ranchers facing worsening financial conditions.
Brady Huck with Advance Trading says corn and soybeans have been holding support and holding up well amid harvest pressure and the China trade woes.
Corn grower advocates say it is their goal to get E15 legislation across the finish line by year’s end.
Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says corn saw some short covering and spillover buying from the rally in the wheat market. However, soybeans ended off lows with the rally in feed grains but still saw pressure on lingering China trade woes.
In its preliminary estimate, Conab forecast Brazil’s soybean acreage would increase 3.6% to 49.08 million hectares (121.2 million acres).
Mike Zuzolo with Global Commodity Analytics says soybean futures closed slightly higher on Monday as trade tensions with China seemed to ease over the weekend. However, he says the soybean market doesn’t totally trust that a deal is going to take place.
Falling crop prices, skyrocketing expenses, and trade disputes are creating conditions that are too much for farm families to bear.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says November feeder cattle futures were up over $20 last week and have led the rally on strong cash, tight supplies and the continued cases of New World Screwworm (NWS) in Mexico keeping the border shut.
Chinese crushers have been bolstering supplies of the oilseed with shipments mainly from Brazil.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the trade news was a game changer for the market. After calling an early low in corn and soybeans, he says Friday’s news and trade action has changed his opinion and he has turned bearish.
Jim McCormick with AgMarket.Net says the soybean market reacted negatively as it was pinning its hopes on a trade deal that included purchases at the end of October when the two leaders met at the APEC summit.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek says the feeder futures have put on $22 this week and were due for a correction but still project to $388. Grains see pressure from China trade news.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says corn, soybeans and wheat were all lower on Thursday after running into solid chart resistance. However, basis is firming. So, what does that signal?
Don Roose with U.S. Commodities says soybeans ended higher for second day as it looks like the market is trying to carve out a seasonal low.
Jon Scheve with Scheve Grain says soybeans are seeing follow through buying on Wednesday as more farmers are storing soybeans this fall and waiting for an improvement in basis and/or prices with the possibility of a China trade deal.
November soybean futures ended 4 1/4 higher on Tuesday with some short covering and buying on hopes of trade aid or an upcoming China trade deal according to Rich Nelson of Allendale, Inc.
For the fourth straight year, water levels in the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers will soon be critically low.
Mark Knight, Farmer’s Keeper Financial, says soybeans are back higher early Tuesday on light technical buying but awaiting details of the Trump administration’s farmer aid package.
DuWayne Bosse, with Bolt Marketing says he was surprised at how well the corn market is handling the harvest pressure that is ramping up across the Corn Belt.
California Governor Newsom’s signing his legislature’s E15 bill made the state the last remaining and biggest to allow sales of the higher ethanol blend.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the market is staying intact and absorbing a great deal of bearish news including last week’s lower fed cash trade and lower cutouts.
USDA’s Quarterly Stocks report on Tuesday provided a bearish surprise for the corn market.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading says corn and soybeans saw selling late in the session on harvest pressure. However, soybeans had a higher weekly close pushed by President Trump’s renewed ideas of a China deal.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says it has been another volatile week in the cattle futures but they are still trading sideways and holding the uptrend lines. Grains are pausing after hitting chart resistance.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says soybeans extended gains off of Wednesday’s reversal on technical buying and short covering but with hopes of a China deal. The trade aid announced will also keep farmer selling at a minimum.
Announcement coming on Tuesday regarding support for farmers.
The government is shut down for a second day and so are no reports from USDA, including weekly export sales or flash sales. So what are the grain markets trading?
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says grains started lower Wednesday on the government shutdown but soybeans reversed higher after President Trump’s social media post on China.
Dan Basse, Ag Resource Company, says corn stocks were 207 million bu. above USDA’s projected ending stocks which was bearish for the market. Soybeans also made new lows for the move despite a slightly friendly report.