Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
The grain markets were higher early Wednesday with wheat leading the price gains and adding war premium.
A day after making new highs for the year and hitting the highest levels in three years, the soybean market saw some profit taking and consolidation. Corn and wheat resumed their rally.
Corn and soybeans saw some early profit taking pressure on Tuesday after running into chart resistance and with better than expected crop ratings.
Soybeans gapped higher Sunday night and made new highs for the move again on Monday says Mark Schultz with Northstar Commodity.
Joe Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek says the question is whether or not a bounce in the cattle can hold or if funds will use it to exit more of their long positions.
Brooke Rollins’ intent addresses a paramount question of U.S. national food security: Who decides what a crop is worth?
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says in a bull market it can be difficult to know whether to hold or sell because it can get volatile and emotional.
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says wheat has been leading the grains higher and how long the rally can be sustained is dependent on how long the Black Sea export slowdown lasts.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says everybody’s looking for the bottom in the cattle market and wants to know if it is close.
Garrett Toay with AgTraderTalk says after the big rally to start the week the grain markets saw some profit taking and corrective selling.
DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says the wheat market was trying to extend gains early Thursday but may be getting close to pricing the Black Sea export disruptions in.
Oliver Sloup Blue Line Futures, says wheat prices skyrocketed adding risk premium on concerns about the escalating Black Sea war and the disruptions it is causing in the export market. It could have more upside left.
Wheat futures were up 30 to 35 cents early Wednesday adding risk premium as Russia and Ukraine attacks have escalated says Jamie Gieseke with Paradigm Futures.
Rich Nelson, chief strategist for Allendale says row crops are pausing right now until the weather story is really decided, while wheat is concerned about rising tensions in the Black Sea region.
Kevin Duling with KD Investors says corn and soybeans eased with a 1% improvement in ratings, while the weather is moderating.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the market initially traded the heat for this week which is unwelcome for corn during pollination time.
Corn and soybean markets face uncertainty as China returns to buy U.S. soybeans, USDA acreage questions linger and weather drives price outlooks. Analysts offer grain marketing insights for farmers to navigate summer.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the cattle charts look tough right now.
For Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, the action further confirmed the grain futures forged significant lows on June 30.
Corn futures ended 8 to 9 cents higher on Friday on the heels of the sharply higher wheat market and friendly numbers in the July WASDE.
Early Friday cattle utures tried to stage an early recovery but it was short lived as funds have been selling every rally. Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says his fear is the high is in the cattle market.
Corn and soybeans were lower on Thursday seeing further consolidation after hitting chart resistance and with the WASDE on Friday.
Grain markets were lower on Wednesday and to start Thursday, seeing profit taking after hitting key chart resistance and with cooler, wetter extended weather forecast for the Midwest. That’s according to Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag.
Live cattle futures were lower again on Wednesday and have spent several consecutive days under the 100-day moving average. Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says it is looking like more than a healthy correction.
Mark Knight of Farmers Keeper Financial says the market was looking for confirmation of China soybean purchases and now will need to see more sales to continue the rally.
November soybeans failed to close above the key $12 level and Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing thinks the market may be running out of runway as Monday was mostly technical buying.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst with Barchart says Turnaround Tuesday action is not unexpected after a big rally but grains continue to be sensitive to weather and China news.
Chuck Shelby with Zaner Ag Hedge says grains reacted to China’s Commerce Ministry confirming it plans to lower tariffs on U.S. soybeans and other grains.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says funds continue to pressure the cattle futures and he anticipates that will continue after last week’s lower weekly closes.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, describes this week’s technical performance as bullish.