Consultant: Argentine Soybean Crop Keeps Getting Smaller

Lowers crop estimate by 2 million metric tons.

South American crop consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier says the “never ending cycle of bad news” just keeps coming regarding the Argentine soybean crop. He reduced his crop estimate by 2 million metric tons (MMT) to 41.5 MMT and also cut his minimum estimate by 4 MMT to 37 MMT. He says, “I think the crop will end up closer to 37 MMT than 41.5 MMT.”

Dr. Cordonnier 2011-12 Soybean Estimates

Est.
Maximum
Minimum
2010-11

in million metric tons

Brazil 66.0
68.0
65.0
75.5
Argentina 41.5
44.0
37.0
49.0
Paraguay 4.5
5.0
4.0
8.3
Bolivia 1.7
2.0
1.4
1.6
Uruguay 1.7
2.0
1.4
1.5
Total 115.4
121.0
108.8
135.9

Dr. Cordonnier 2011-12
Corn Estimates

Est.
Maximum
Minimum
2010-11

in million metric tons

Brazil 58.0
65.0
55.0
57.5
Argentina 20.0
22.0
17.0
22.5
Paraguay 1.8
2.0
1.6
2.0
Total 79.8
89.0
73.6
82.0


AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Corn and soybeans were lower on Thursday seeing further consolidation after hitting chart resistance and with the WASDE on Friday.
Six technologies advance toward commercialization, with the first product expected in late 2026, despite criticism from environmental advocacy groups.
The request allocates $10 billion to row and specialty crop producers for crops planted in 2026, with the remaining $1.1 billion designated for Florida farmers hit by winter storms in late 2025 and early 2026.
Read Next
The farm economy is at a crossroads. High costs and negative margins are driving record government payments, but economists say innovation, lower costs and new demand are key to restoring profitability.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App