Market Analysis

Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says it has been another volatile week in the cattle futures but they are still trading sideways and holding the uptrend lines. Grains are pausing after hitting chart resistance.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says soybeans extended gains off of Wednesday’s reversal on technical buying and short covering but with hopes of a China deal. The trade aid announced will also keep farmer selling at a minimum.
The government is shut down for a second day and so are no reports from USDA, including weekly export sales or flash sales. So what are the grain markets trading?
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says grains started lower Wednesday on the government shutdown but soybeans reversed higher after President Trump’s social media post on China.
Dan Basse, Ag Resource Company, says corn stocks were 207 million bu. above USDA’s projected ending stocks which was bearish for the market. Soybeans also made new lows for the move despite a slightly friendly report.
Mike Minor with Professional Ag Marketing says soybeans saw hedge pressure with a dry open weekend for harvest across the Midwest but corn also hit chart resistance.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are higher early Monday. The cash feeder market has continued to move higher, so will it be able to lead the cattle futures back to new highs?
Matt Bennett with AgMarket.Net says he was surprised soybeans held the $10 level with all of the bearish demand news the market had to digest including China buying Argentina soybeans.
John Heinberg with Total Farm Marketing says grain markets rallied on Thursday as Argentina’s government announced it would be renewing its export tax.
Sam Hudson with Corn Belt Marketing says grains saw an early bounce on Thursday with news overnight that Argentina had reinstates it’s export tax on grains, which is at 26% for soybeans.
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