Market Analysis
Grain markets failed to extend Thursday’s gains after hitting chart resistance and fear of record yields in the Aug. 12 WASDE. However, Shawn Hackett of Hackett Financial Advisors, says the market may have already priced in the biggest yields.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle saw some early profit taking pressure after contract and record highs again Thursday. However, the cattle futures have been resilient and every break seems to get bought, which is a good sign of a bull market.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says grains markets all closed higher on Thursday as they were oversold and due for a corrective bounce.
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Sam Hudson with Corn Belt Marketing says corn made contract lows again Wednesday as funds continue to sell on record yield estimates from private firms. However, the pressure is about more than just yield.
Greg McBride with Allendale, Inc. says soybeans and wheat saw early strength on Wednesday but the markets have struggled to hold gains with corn making new contract lows again.
John Heinberg of Total Farm Marketing says funds sold across the grain complex pushing corn to new contract lows again. Corn saw pressure from historically high crop ratings and record yield estimates.
Brady Huck with Advance Trading, Inc. says corn continues to grind into new contract lows with a strong crop rating of 73% good to excellent on Monday and StoneX’s record 188.1 bushel yield forecast.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading Company says soybeans and meal both saw a short covering bounce after a long string of lower days, while corn made more contract lows.
So far pollination and disease issues are being discounted by the corn market. The key to how low prices could fall is dependent on just how much above 181 the corn yield is and will it show up in the Aug. 12 WASDE ?