USDA Reports
The first full week of trading in December can be enlightening and Gulke Group president Jerry Gulke says this year is no exception, especially after the 2024 election. However, he thinks the bulk of the bearish news may be priced into the corn market.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says March corn sees a chart breakout Friday above $4.35 and posts a higher weekly close, pricing in strong demand and lower expected ending stocks in Tuesday’s WASDE.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says soybeans built on Friday’s bullish reversal with talk China is looking for more U.S. soybeans. Cattle had a volatile session with a bearish Cattle on Feed Report and sorting through import restrictions on Mexican cattle due to New World Screwworm.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures shook off the bearish Cattle on Feed Report numbers with an announcement of New World Screwworm detected in Mexico. Soybeans built on the key reversal Friday on talk of China buying U.S. soybeans.
Jon Scheve discusses how China might be setting up exports of sorghum from South America and how that will impact U.S. farmers, sorghum prices and corn prices.
The question becomes whether threats of tariffs include barring used cooking oil imports outright or merely tariffing the product, especially from China.
There is evidence the supply-side of the 2024/25 balance sheets for corn and soybeans is still a moving target, which means there’s potential for more market volatility in the next six weeks. On the demand side, questions remain as well.
Jon Scheve discusses factors that will be impacting corn and bean prices for the next few months.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle are consolidating and the live cattle charts look horrible after Friday’s poor technical action. Soybeans try to extend gains after a higher day Friday and USDA’s 1.4 bushel per acre yield cut.
Alan Brugler, A and N Economics says to keep corn and soybean prices moving higher the U.S. will need to see continued demand through the end of the year, which may be difficult with the fear of tariffs.