Market Analysis
Dave Chatterton, Strategic Farm Marketing, says grain markets rebounded late session led by wheat.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says ag markets continue to ride the roller coaster of headlines about tariffs and policy changes being imposed by the Trump Administration. This is driving fund and algorithm trading.
Kevin Good, Vice President of Industry Relations and Analysis with CattleFax, says the herd is still shrinking and so are slaughter levels and that will mean more record prices in 2025.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures continue to consolidate off recent record highs in routine profit taking mode. Grains extended gains on hopes for a China deal and the pause on tariffs for Canada and Mexico.
John Heinberg, Total Farm Marketing, says grains opened lower on Monday but recovered shortly after the opening when news broke that the U.S. would delay tariffs on Mexico for 30 days to allow negotiations.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grain and livestock futures opened mostly lower in response to tariffs imposed on China, Canada and Mexico over the weekend and retaliatory measures from those countries.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says most markets had a negative reaction to to the 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canada starting this weekend and possible retaliation.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says grain and hog markets opened lower reacting to President Trump announcing Thursday afternoon the U.S. would be moving ahead with 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada on Feb. 1.
Jeff Hoogendoorn, Professional Ag Marketing, says corn and cattle are major bull markets and there are certain signals he’s looking for to indicate all of the bullish fundamentals are worked into prices.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains rallied with corn making new highs for the move but wheat also saw double digit gains.
Chip Nellinger, Blue-Reef AgriMarketing says grains rally with corn pulling up the rest of the complex on South American weather concerns.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains close higher seeing fund buying and consolidation with the markets still digesting possible tariffs and South American weather.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says corn and wheat are trying to recover Tuesday with fund short covering.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says grains further corrected with funds liquidating in corn, soybeans and meal due to rains over the weekend in Argentina and more in the extended forecast.
Cattle hit record highs again and hogs follow, says Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains break on South America weather and tariff concerns.
Corn, soybeans and wheat all closed higher for the week in the face of heightened uncertainty. Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says to him that kind of resilience is an underlying sign of a bull market.
Dan Basse with Ag Resource, says grain markets set back on profit taking after running into chart resistance and news Argentina is lowering its export taxes on grains.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures are making record highs once again with cash in the North trading from $210 to $212 on Friday morning. Grains under pressure as Argentina lowers its export taxes on grains.
Craig Turner with StoneX says corn and soybeans rebounded Thursday and made fresh for the move highs on fund buying but South American weather and crop concerns are also supportive.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says corn and soybeans saw profit taking after running into chart resistance on Wednesday but rebounded this morning adding back South America weather premium.
Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says corn and soybeans saw a profit taking setback after making new highs for the move and hitting significant price objectives.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says the forward spreads have been bullish in corn since August indicating strong underlying demand.
Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist with StoneX, says a combination of factors supported the rally in grains, which all scored new highs for the move.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grain markets breathed a sigh of relief there are no immediate Chinese tariffs being imposed by the Trump Administration, that sent the U.S. dollar index sharply lower which is also supportive.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the strength in corn can pull the soybean markets and maybe even wheat higher for a handful of fundamental reasons.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading Group says corn closed above technical resistance of $4.80 despite the uncertainty of South American weather and tariffs under a new administration.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are down a second day despite more record cash trade. However, the row crop futures are trying to recover on strong China economic news.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities says corn saw some fund buying on tight supplies and with help from concerns about Argentina weather. However, soybeans couldn’t follow, pulled down by meal.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says corn and soybeans are watching South American weather with hot dry conditions mainly in Argentina and Southern Brazil but some rain in the weekend forecast.
DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing says corn and soybeans saw profit taking after stretching to new highs for the move as the markets were overbought.