Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% in December instead of 0.3% as reported last month, the revisions of the CPI data published by the Labor Department showed.
March cotton surged 268 points to 91.78 cents and notched a 467-point gain on the week.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says corn and soybeans end lower on Friday as funds continue to sell with more favorable weather in South America and ahead of USDA’s Ag Outlook Forum.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, spoke to a full house at Top Producer Summit this past week. “Producers are finally interested in marketing now that prices have fallen further,” he says.
Soybeans down on Argentina wx, while corn follows wheat on a short covering rally. Cattle 2-sided waiting for cash, hogs finally bounce but is it sustainable? Mike Minor, Professional Ag Marketing, has more.
Grains mixed digesting Conab’s Brazil cuts and the February WASDE. New highs in cattle on fund buying, strong fundamentals. More profit taking in hogs on sliding cutouts. Don Roose, U.S. Commodities, has analysis.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Don Roose, U.S. Commodities says soybeans close higher as Conab production cuts trump WASDE data. So is the market trying to bottom?
Grains are mixed post WASDE which was bearish for soybeans, neutral for corn & wheat. However, Conab estimates on Brazil are trumping USDA’s. What does this mean for prices? Brian Splitt, AgMarket.Net, has analysis.
Cattle start strong on cash ideas, hogs continue to consolidate. Corn and soybeans see short covering pre-WASDE and with Conab’s lower corn and soybean estimates. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek has details.
USDA’s initial forecast calls for net farm income to plunge $39.8 million (25.5%) to $116.1 billion in 2024.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says China and South American news provide a catalyst for fund selling in corn and soybeans.
Funds push corn & soybeans to new lows on China cancellations, fast Brazil safrinha corn planting. Wheat sees short covering. Proft taking in cattle pre-cash, hogs mixed. Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, has more.
The U.S. exported $15.50 billion of agricultural goods in December against imports of $15.66 billion.
Massive fund selling pushes grains to new lows. So, what’s driving it? Live cattle take a breather waiting for cash with higher feeders. Hogs finally bounce. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has details.
Soybeans & wheat up on short covering pre-WASDE, while corn fails to follow. Cotton rallies and cattle make new highs for the move. Hogs down a 5th day. Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, has more.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Services, grains square ahead of WASDE, while cattle make new highs.
USDA will begin issuing final Emergency Relief Program (ERP) payments totaling approximately $306 million to eligible commodity and specialty crop producers who incurred losses due to natural disasters in 2020 and 2021.
A bipartisan border deal and foreign aid package is likely to fail in the Senate this week due to strong opposition from former President Trump and leading House Republicans.
Cattle futures recover after Monday’s chart damage, hogs consolidating for the 5th day. Soybeans build on Monday’s reversal, while corn is consolidating above support. Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Brian Grete, editor of Pro Farmer says, “Soybeans saw mostly corrective buying as funds have built a short position and may be covering some of those contracts heading into the WASDE report on Thursday.”
Grains mixed as soybeans see corrective buying, wheat falls on dollar strength, corn caught in the middle. Funds take profits in cattle after hitting chart resistance, hogs consolidate. Brian Grete, ProFarmer, has more.
Former President Donald Trump hinted at imposing tariffs on Chinese goods exceeding 60% if re-elected, signaling a more aggressive stance towards China, which is the primary supplier of goods to the United States.
Grains Start Lower as Funds Add to Near Record Short Position: Cattle Extend Gains, Hogs Consolidate
Grains lower as funds continue to sell on Brazil harvest pressure & rain in Argentina. Cattle extend gains with higher cash ideas, hogs see profit taking & hedge pressure. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures has details.
“The fund selling in grains isn’t just about China and Brazil, but also the carry in the markets. That is your theme,” says John Payne with Hedge Point Global Markets.
AgDay TV Markets Now: John Payne with Hedge Point Global Markets says soybeans and corn down for the week with soybeans back below $12.
The Biden administration is taking aim at grocery chains, suggesting they lower prices as their costs decline.
Shipping disruptions and higher freight costs are to blame for the basis collapse and the large carries in all the major grains, says Jerry Gulke.
A recap of this week’s price action plus market outlook broken down into 5, 30 and 90 day segments.
In early January, Illinois crop budgets were revised for 2024. Farmers are predicted to lose $135 to $160 per acre for corn and $20 to $107 per acre for soybeans. What’s a farmer to do when news is a punch in the gut?
Corn and soybeans continue to see fund selling, while funds are covering shorts in wheat. Outside markets respond to Jobs data. Cattle try to extend gains pushed by higher cash. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has more.