Will USDA Fumble The 45Z Football?

The latest efforts in Washington D.C. could change the size of opportunity for farmers who sell their grain with a carbon intensity score.

Corn Harvest, Lindsey Pound
Corn Harvest, Lindsey Pound
(Lindsey Pound)

The clock is ticking on the U.S. government to provide clarity around the 45Z tax credits outlined in the Inflation Reduction Act. The provisions are scheduled to go into effect beginning Jan. 1, 2025.

But the latest efforts in Washington D.C. could change the size of opportunity for farmers who sell their grain with a carbon intensity score.

“USDA is trying to put some guidance together to help the Department of Treasury with the final 45Z rules,” explains Mitchell Hora, founder of Continuum Ag. “This administration has been keen on climate smart ag and climate smart commodities. But climate smart ag and low carbon feed stocks for biofuels are not the same thing.”

Hora says the distinction between the two will help ensure farmers are able to pursue the largest incentive. Whereas bundles were used with 40B and other previous programs, Hora contends 45Z needs to use the Department of Energy’s GREET model.

“If bundles are used, it stifles farmer innovation—it waters down the impact,” he says.

As an example, he offers a farm from northeast Iowa.

When implementing no-till, cover crops, and manure, the farm averages a 250 bu. yield. With a bundled approach, there’s $0.00 incentive. However, using the GREET model, there’s a -4.6 carbon intensity score equating up to $1.82/bu value.

“We have to get this done right. The weight of this decision is massive. The ripple effect 45Z could have is tremendous.”

Continuum Ag has scored more than 330 million bushels using the GREET model.

“It takes five minutes, is very scalable, and we’re offering it for free,” he says.

Hear more in Hora’s latest conversation on AgriTalk with host Chip Flory.

Your Next Read:

Carbon Intensity Is Going To Be A Team Sport

AgWeb-Logo crop
Related Stories
Brian Grete with Commstock Investments says, “We’ve seen China come in and be a fairly active buyer over the past several weeks here of new crop U.S. soybeans. There was more talk of that on Friday. And so that gave us some price support.”
InnerPlant’s CropVoice network alerts growers to fungal infections in real-time, expanding from soybeans to corn in 2027.
USDA ratings show that the nation’s crops lag behind Iowa’s current strong performance, while drowned-out areas and weather stress in Illinois could deliver harvest disappointments.
Read Next
The question facing U.S. agriculture is whether current farm aid is a bridge through temporary hardship — or a pier toward more structural government support.
Get News Daily
Get Market Alerts
Get News & Markets App