China
USDA’s Quarterly Stocks report on Tuesday provided a bearish surprise for the corn market.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading says corn and soybeans saw selling late in the session on harvest pressure. However, soybeans had a higher weekly close pushed by President Trump’s renewed ideas of a China deal.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says it has been another volatile week in the cattle futures but they are still trading sideways and holding the uptrend lines. Grains are pausing after hitting chart resistance.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says soybeans extended gains off of Wednesday’s reversal on technical buying and short covering but with hopes of a China deal. The trade aid announced will also keep farmer selling at a minimum.
The government is shut down for a second day and so are no reports from USDA, including weekly export sales or flash sales. So what are the grain markets trading?
Dan Basse, Ag Resource Company, says corn stocks were 207 million bu. above USDA’s projected ending stocks which was bearish for the market. Soybeans also made new lows for the move despite a slightly friendly report.
U.S. shipments to China, worth around $120 million a month, collapsed after Beijing in March allowed permits to expire at hundreds of American meat facilities.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are higher early Monday. The cash feeder market has continued to move higher, so will it be able to lead the cattle futures back to new highs?
Matt Bennett with AgMarket.Net says he was surprised soybeans held the $10 level with all of the bearish demand news the market had to digest including China buying Argentina soybeans.
The Farm Journal September Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor makes it clear: Working capital is thinning, export markets are shaky and long-term crop margins could get ugly. But for now, one thing is still keeping its strength: Americans’ appetite for beef.