China
Live cattle futures were lower again on Wednesday and have spent several consecutive days under the 100-day moving average. Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says it is looking like more than a healthy correction.
Mark Knight of Farmers Keeper Financial says the market was looking for confirmation of China soybean purchases and now will need to see more sales to continue the rally.
November soybeans failed to close above the key $12 level and Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing thinks the market may be running out of runway as Monday was mostly technical buying.
While, not yet confirmed by the U.S. Trade Representative’s office, Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist, StoneX says the tariffs could be dropped by October 1.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says funds continue to pressure the cattle futures and he anticipates that will continue after last week’s lower weekly closes.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says the failure was likely position squaring heading into the three day holiday plus markets ran into chart resistance and saw some profit taking.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures were struggling early Thursday with lower cash as the packers are trying to break the market with their own inventory.
Darren Frye with Water Street Solutions says the follow through buying was very important to show the higher close on Tuesday was not a head fake.
DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says the trade action Friday was disappointing in corn and soybeans after key reversals on Thursday.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures were seeing some profit taking early Friday as they are overbought. However, futures haven’t stayed down long with the strength in the cash market.