Market Analysis
Kevin Duling, KD Investors, says grains closed higher on fund buying and March corn closed above $5 with March Chicago wheat closing above $6.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains faded early strength as corn finally gets above $5 on the March or front month contract and sees farmer selling and profit taking.
Is it possible the wheat market is finally seeing the same paradigm shift that’s already taken place in the corn market? Jerry Gulke is watching several signals for an answer, including speculator activity in the wheat market.
Garrett Toay, AgTraderTalk, says grains saw technical buying led by wheat and surged to end the week. However, there were also some big fundamental drivers.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grains are rallying but cattle are seeing some selling pressure again ahead of a three day weekend but are holding chart support.
Rich Nelson of Allendale says grains closed quietly higher with corn and wheat supported by strong weekly exports.
Mike Minor, Professional Ag Marketing, says the rally in corn was fueled by fund buying especially after inflation data in the CPI ran hot. Pressure in soybeans came from South American hedge pressure.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says after a lower opening Wednesday corn recovered nicely on fund buying and a fresh export sale.
Brian Grete with Pro Farmers says grains sold off into the close Tuesday disappointed about the lack of changes in the domestic balance sheets in the WASDE.
USDA left domestic balance sheets for corn and soybeans unchanged in the February WASDE but did make slight revisions in South American production.
Brad Kooima, with Kooima Kooima Varilek, says live and feeder cattle futures have bounced off trendline support, at least so far. Grains are positioning ahead of USDA reports, watching weather and tariff news.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says grains took a pause Friday in preparation for the February WASDE but is in the critical price discovery process before planting.
Alan Brugler, A&N Economics, says grains pulled back Friday on profit taking after hitting chart resistance and with uncertainty about trade and administrative policies.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures are trying to recover after the trifecta that tanked the futures Thursday and pulled down cash as well. Grains are lower on profit taking and SA weather.
Dave Chatterton, Strategic Farm Marketing, says grain markets rebounded late session led by wheat.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says ag markets continue to ride the roller coaster of headlines about tariffs and policy changes being imposed by the Trump Administration. This is driving fund and algorithm trading.
John Heinberg, Total Farm Marketing, says grains opened lower on Monday but recovered shortly after the opening when news broke that the U.S. would delay tariffs on Mexico for 30 days to allow negotiations.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grain and livestock futures opened mostly lower in response to tariffs imposed on China, Canada and Mexico over the weekend and retaliatory measures from those countries.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says corn and soybeans posted lower weekly closes, which was the first time in several weeks for corn. So is the bull market in corn over?
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says most markets had a negative reaction to to the 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canada starting this weekend and possible retaliation.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says grain and hog markets opened lower reacting to President Trump announcing Thursday afternoon the U.S. would be moving ahead with 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada on Feb. 1.
Jeff Hoogendoorn, Professional Ag Marketing, says corn and cattle are major bull markets and there are certain signals he’s looking for to indicate all of the bullish fundamentals are worked into prices.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains rallied with corn making new highs for the move but wheat also saw double digit gains.
Chip Nellinger, Blue-Reef AgriMarketing says grains rally with corn pulling up the rest of the complex on South American weather concerns.
Fed cash cattle hit a new record high for a fourth straight week with the five area weighted average at $210.79, up $7.12 from the previous week.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains close higher seeing fund buying and consolidation with the markets still digesting possible tariffs and South American weather.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says corn and wheat are trying to recover Tuesday with fund short covering.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says grains further corrected with funds liquidating in corn, soybeans and meal due to rains over the weekend in Argentina and more in the extended forecast.
Cattle hit record highs again and hogs follow, says Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains break on South America weather and tariff concerns.
Corn, soybeans and wheat all closed higher for the week in the face of heightened uncertainty. Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says to him that kind of resilience is an underlying sign of a bull market.