USDA Reports
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grains are weak on more tariff talk. Cattle opened strong with the slightly friendly numbers in the Cattle on Feed Reported Report and a possible cash bottom forming.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says corn and soybeans fell heading into the weekend on profit taking and technical selling, plus lower crude oil and a higher dollar.
Jon Scheve discusses the latest USDA report and how likely it is for corn prices to go even higher.
USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory Report released Friday shows the U.S. total cattle inventory shrunk another 1% over the past year, with the number of beef cows also down 1%.
Last year’s USDA Cattle Inventory Report showed the smallest cattle herd since 1951. With strong heifer prices and no strong signs of rebuilding underway, the Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor shows supplies may come in even lower than last year.
The latest USDA American Farms and Ranches at a Glance report offers insights to how row crop growers are making a go of it financially in 2025.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says live cattle futures are consolidating which is healthy. Meanwhile, corn and soybeans make new highs for the move still digesting USDA’s bullish report data and the shocking cuts in yield, production and ending stocks.
Jon Scheve discusses highlights from last week’s USDA report and how prices could be impacted for corn, soybeans, and wheat.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says as of Friday’s report, USDA has dropped corn ending stocks nearly 1 billion bushels from their initial estimate during the February 2024 Ag Outlook Forum when the agency projected carryout at 2.532 billion bushels based on trend-line yield.
Markets saw a double-digit rally as USDA says the 2024 corn and soybean crops were not as big as originally projected.
USDA lowered corn yield a whopping 3.8 bu. and soybeans 1 bu. which led to lower production and ending stocks.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn has rallied nearly $1 and soybeans around 50 cents off the lows. So production and ending stocks will need to come in well under trade estimates in the USDA reports for prices to push higher.
Farmers and trade anticipate final numbers from the crop production summary on Friday. The latest information from WASDE, winter wheat seedings and quarterly stocks will be available tomorrow.
Rich Nelson with Allendale, Inc. says grain markets are seeing early pressure with a rebound in the U.S. dollar index back near recent highs, but also watching South American weather and ahead of USDA reports on Friday.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says corn and soybeans are seeing profit taking and farmer selling after hitting chart resistance on Monday at previous highs and retreating.
Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing says corn, soybeans and soybean meal saw fund buying and weather premium being added early in the session with hot and dry weather forecasts for 15 days out in Argentina and Southern Brazil.
Jon Scheve explains why the high interest cost to hold his soybeans led to him setting his basis and moving his beans in December.
Jon Scheve explains why “free” storage offered to farmers is a bad deal and costs all farmers more than they realize.
Although there were no earth-shattering surprises in the Dec. 1 USDA Hogs and Pigs Report, economist Lee Schulz says there are several important takeaways for pork producers as the year comes to a close.
Jon Scheve discusses what factors could contribute to a price rally in the next few months.
If the funding measure fails, USDA has a contingency plan in place for essential workers and services. The plan would retain a small number of administrative employees to oversee activities including disaster response and cybersecurity should funding lapse.
Jon Scheve explains the reaction to the latest USDA report and what to expect for the next few months in terms of price direction.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says after the 200 million bushel cut to corn ending stocks in the December WASDE he wonders if USDA is preparing the marketplace for more of the same in the final January report?
Alan Brugler of A&N Economics, LLC says corn started higher still digesting the bullish cut to ending stocks in the December WASDE but ran into chart resistance.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains are extending gains from Tuesday on technical and fund buying as the markets. The markets are still digesting the bullish USDA report data for corn and even wheat.
Darren Frye, Water Street Solutions, says grains close higher after the WASDE and USDA’s surprise cut in corn ending stocks by 200 million bushels.
Matt Bennett with AgMarket.Net says the agency shocked the market in the December WASDE by lowering ending stocks on corn 200 million bu. to 1.738 billion bu., with an increase in demand.
Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist for Stone X, says corn and wheat ended higher on value buying after wheat hit contract lows last week. Soybeans continue to be under pressure with favorable weather in Brazil and basis levels below the U.S.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are working in last week’s higher fed cash cattle trade. Grains are also mostly higher adding geopolitical risk premium and ahead of the WASDE.
Jon Scheve explains current corn and bean price trends and how likely corn will go up. Plus, he walks through a recent trade outcome.