Market Analysis
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says the soybean market saw a bit of recovery on Tuesday and was trying to hold Wednesday morning with news that China has purchased more Argentina soybeans.
Brian Grete, senior analyst with CommStock Investments says the soybean market has priced in most of the negative export news out of Argentina.
Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist for StoneX, says soybeans did technical damage on hangover from the disappointing talks with China and Argentina’s announced export tax holiday.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are sharply higher on Monday as news came late Sunday that New World Screwworm (NWS) had been detected 70 miles from the U.S. Mexican border. in an 8-month-old calf from a transported herd.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, says the soybean market fell on disappointment talks between President Trump and Chinese President Xi on Friday did not include soybeans, that also weighed on corn and wheat.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the last time placements and markets were this low was in 2015, which may be signaling heifer retention is starting to take place.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures have seen a choppy week but are higher to start Friday after some better than expected cash trade.
Craig Turner with StoneX says corn and soybeans saw additional profit taking Thursday and pressure from harvest pressure and record soybean production estimates for Brazil.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst with Barchart, Inc. says corn and soybeans are seeing a pick up in farmer selling or hedge pressure as harvest expands across at least the Central and Eastern Midwest.
Alan Brugler with A&N Economics says the commodity markets saw some profit taking and risk off selling ahead of the FOMC announcement.
DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says corn tried to extend gains from Tuesday’s rally working in lower yield ideas.
However, it is failing at technical resistance around $4.30 on the December where farmer selling also picks up.
However, it is failing at technical resistance around $4.30 on the December where farmer selling also picks up.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn rallied on Tuesday as the market does not believe USDA’s 186.7 bu. per acre yield estimate especially with some disappointing early yield reports.
Jon Scheve with Scheve Grain says corn and soybeans were seeing a technical bounce Tuesday with corn getting some extra help from early yield reports which are showing lower production than a year ago due to disease pressure, especially Southern Rust.
Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says after 10-cent gains on Friday the corn market saw some profit taking but also report hangover. The September WASDE was bearish for the corn market and traders had the weekend to finally let that soak in.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are higher early Monday but after a second week of lower weekly closes, he’s not sure if the market can retest the highs.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says USDA also confirmed record demand at 16.1 billion bu. That estimate struck him as one of the most important parts of the September report.
Chip Nellinger with Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says corn rallied on Friday in reaction to USDA’s 2.1 bu. per acre yield cut to 186.7 bu. cut he thinks there are bigger cuts yet to come.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are higher again on Friday morning with the third day of recovery after Tuesday’s melt down. They need to close above Thursday’s highs to have a shot at retesting the record highs.
Garrett Toay with AgTraderTalk says while he thinks the corn and soybean crops are getting smaller he’s not sure if it will be reflected in the September WASDE.
Mike Minor of Professional Ag Marketing says last year USDA raised yield .5 bu. in the September report and left soybean yield unchanged, despite dry conditions to finish the crop.
Darren Frye with Water Street Solutions says grains saw technical selling pressure ahead of the WASDE. The agency doesn’t normally make huge changes in the September report and the market may be more worried about demand than supply.
Craig Turner with StoneX says corn and soybeans drifted early Wednesday ahead of the September WASDE as the market tries to determine how much USDA will lower yield.
Naomi Blohm with Total Farm Marketing says grain markets saw profit taking after the higher closes on Monday. And the ugly day in the cattle market was tied to technical selling.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says grains were quietly mixed early Tuesday positioning ahead of the September WASDE. She expects USDA to modestly cut corn and soybean yields but they could also cut demand.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says corn and soybeans saw a technical bounce and buying after holding chart support.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the uptrend line on the cattle charts is also starting to be violated but that isn’t the only thing he’s watching for a signal of a bigger correction.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says corn was slightly lower for the week but held support. The performance was a victory, considering the large infusion of bearish news the corn market had to absorb.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says corn futures ended lower on Friday on profit taking and were down nearly 2-cents for the week. However, December still held the 50-day moving average.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn is working on its third higher weekly close, which continues to help confirm the fall low set on August 12. Soybeans are still looking for China export business but could they be buying under unknown destinations?
Kevin Duling with KD Investors says corn shook off early losses after bouncing off support on the charts.