Market Analysis
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says corn and soybeans saw pressure from some rain added to the 11-15 day weather forecast in Argentina and Southern Brazil and USDA report positioning. Cattle saw profit taking and maybe some reaction to the border opening to Mexican feeder cattle imports soon.
Rich Nelson with Allendale, Inc. says grain markets are seeing early pressure with a rebound in the U.S. dollar index back near recent highs, but also watching South American weather and ahead of USDA reports on Friday.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says corn and soybeans came back from early profit taking pressure to end steady as trader position ahead of Friday’s USDA reports and watch South American weather.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says corn and soybeans are seeing profit taking and farmer selling after hitting chart resistance on Monday at previous highs and retreating.
Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing says corn, soybeans and soybean meal saw fund buying and weather premium being added early in the session with hot and dry weather forecasts for 15 days out in Argentina and Southern Brazil.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures recovered nicely from Friday’s selloff with some contracts making new highs for the move, pricing in record cash cattle trade. Grain markets are seeing fund buying with soybeans and meal leading on dry weather forecasts for Argentina.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn and soybeans saw early pressure as both markets ran up into chart resistance which triggered fund profit taking.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn and soybeans both ran up into chart resistance and are seeing some profit taking by technical traders.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says corn and soybeans were higher on technical buying and adding some weather premium with a hot dry extended forecast for Argentina and Southern Brazil. Cattle futures followed record cash in the South.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says corn scored a new six month high close for the move on dryness in the extended forecast in Argentina and funds adding to their long position.
With strong demand fundamentals the corn market may be able to continue to march higher. Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says he’s not ruling out $5 corn but it will take several factors to push to that level.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures are extending gains after a higher week in the futures and with higher cash trade. Grains are seeing technical buying but dryness in Argentina is also a concern.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading Company says the grain markets saw light holiday trade and rebalancing of portfolios end of year. However, the higher weekly closes were encouraging, especially corn at a six month high.
Garrett Toay, AgTraderTalk, says corn made six month highs and finally closed above the 200 day moving average which has been tough chart resistance.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the nearby live cattle were lower despite steady to higher cash and the divergence is frustrating. Corn climbs after closing at a six month high Friday, while soybeans fade. How long can these markets continue to move in opposite directions?
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says the weekly continuation chart corn is trading above the October high, the 50-day and the 200-day moving average. “The chart is telling us to have a little patience in this uptrending market,” he adds.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says soybeans recovered off Thursday’s new contract lows on fund short covering and profit taking, plus market talk that China was in buying soybeans. Corn put in the highest weekly close in six months.
Grain markets are seeing value and technical buying but Kent Beadle of Paradigm Futures says the rebound in soybeans is supported by a recovery in the Brazilian Real.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says soybeans see a dead cat bounce off contract lows Thursday. Meanwhile, cattle futures end lower despite good early cash news. So is this topping action?
Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst with Barchart, says soybeans are trying to stage a dead cat bounce after making new contract lows, along with soy products. The stock market is also trying to recover.
What’s ahead for the grain prices the last few weeks of 2024? Rich Nelson with Allendale, Inc. says historical and seasonal tendencies are at play in the grain markets. However, South American weather will also be a focus.
Pro Farmer Editor Brian Grete, says soybeans fell with rain in Brazil and big crop forecasts, plus a disappointing NOPA crush report.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grains try to hold early gains. Nearby live cattle futures made new highs for the move pushed by sharply higher cash in the North at mostly $196, the South was at mostly $191.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says after the 200 million bushel cut to corn ending stocks in the December WASDE he wonders if USDA is preparing the marketplace for more of the same in the final January report?
Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says corn saw continued technical selling and profit taking after the inability to take out chart resistance.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says soybeans are seeing profit taking on South American weather and despite another 7.3 million bu. of export business this morning,
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says corn ended lower on a combination of profit taking and farmer selling after running into chart resistance.
Mark Schultz, NorthStar Commodity, says corn and soybeans are overbought and failed to get above resistance on the charts which is triggering profit taking. Live cattle make new highs for the move on sharply higher cash trade.
Alan Brugler of A&N Economics, LLC says corn started higher still digesting the bullish cut to ending stocks in the December WASDE but ran into chart resistance.
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says grains are extending gains from Tuesday on technical and fund buying as the markets. The markets are still digesting the bullish USDA report data for corn and even wheat.