Market Analysis
Grains rally led by wheat on continued crop concerns and fund short covering. Live cattle lower despite the futures discount to cash. Hogs fall on the futures premium to the LHI. Brian Grete, Pro Farmer, has more.
Brian Grete, Pro Farmer editor, says wheat led the price rally in wheat once again adding weather premium on global production concerns.
Grain & livestock futures are mostly higher. Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle are at a discount to steady to higher cash which is supportive, Hogs see short covering. Grains continue to add risk premium.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, says if rains continue to delay planting and wheat areas like Russia and the Southwest Plains miss forecasted rains that could continue to drive buying interest in the grains.
Grains end higher on Friday after the WASDE but was the market trading the report or was it weather and fund short covering? Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, has more plus talks cattle.
Grains higher post-WASDE. U.S. numbers came in friendly for corn, neutral for wheat but bearish for soybeans. So, is the market trading the report or is it fund short covering? Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, has more.
Cattle and hogs both try to bounce but the cattle market lacks confidence due to bird flu says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains higher but can those gains hold in the face of a potentially bearish WASDE?
Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says grain prices are well off their lows on crop concerns but he cautions farmers weather markets can be volatile and fleeting.
Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says the early new crop estimates for the May WASDE are larger than last year which is potentially bearish, but still in line with the USDA Ag Outlook Forum.
Arlan Suderman, ,StoneX, says the rally into new highs for the move was met with farmer selling and funds took a pause heading into the WASDE, but they may not be done lightening their short position.
Grains ease on Tuesday on farmer selling and lack of fund buying. Arlan Suderman with StoneX says weather concerns may be priced in until after the WASDE.
Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says grains mixed as fund buying pauses and with increased farmer selling. Markets are watching weather, WASDE. Livestock see a Turnaround Tuesday bounce.
Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says it’s the combination of weather and production concerns globally and in the U.S. that have finally caught the grain market’s attention and will dictate how high prices go.
Grains rally on weather and technical buying. Will funds keep covering their short positions with the chart breakouts and what kind of rally could that produce? Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, has answers.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are trading more H5N1 headlines and disregarding higher cash, hogs are following. Grains are adding weather premium, but he cautions weather rallies are fleeting.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities, says grain markets are trading weather and have had some chart breakouts. That could keep funds buying but only if weather continues to be bullish.
Corn, soybean and soybean meal futures posted higher weekly closes, but it’s hard to predict how far the grain markets could rally, says Jerry Gulke. “Now it becomes more of an art than a science,” he adds.
Grains ended higher on Friday with chart breakouts on weather and crop concerns, plus fund short covering. Cattle mixed, hogs. lower.
Grain markets have been rallying this week on weather and crop concerns and it’s not just wheat. Eric Snodgrass, Senior Science Fellow, Nutrien Ag Solutions, talks about Northern and Southern Hemisphere weather.
Grains continue higher with weather concerns in the U.S. and SA, a lower dollar and funds are covering shorts with the stronger technical action says Darin Newsom with Barchart. Will the funds eventually buy grains?
John Payne, Advance Trading, says soybeans and soybean meal led the grain rally Thursday on short covering and adding weather premium with heavy rains and flooding in southern Brazil and parts of Argentina.
John Payne, Advance Trading says grains rally on fund short covering and weather, with a higher day in cattle and lower close in cotton....again.
Cattle rally after negative tests for H5N1 in ground beef and improving cash says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains are putting in weather premium, is a chart breakout in the works?
Corn and soybeans close higher Wednesday, with wheat and livestock lower. Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, recaps the action plus talks about why the stock market rallied after interest rates were left unchanged.
AgDay Markets Now: Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, says corn and soybeans saw a technical bounce Wednesday, with profit taking in wheat.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says wheat is consolidating and pulling down corn. When will the grain markets become concerned about weather?
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says soybeans, bean oil and wheat tank on heavy deliveries and fast planting progress.
A lower day in the grains on heavy deliveries, fast planting and some end of month squaring. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures says cattle were also lower following the stock market and H5N1 headlines.
Grains lower on profit taking, heavy deliveries of BO and CH wheat, plus faster than expected planting pace. USDA’s ground beef testing for bird flu is weighing on cattle. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors says wheat finally saw profit taking on Monday and was due for a correction. Soybeans ended slightly higher, pushed by meal.