Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says it will be tough for corn to run to $5 because report just confirmed what the market already knew.
USDA lowered corn yield a whopping 3.8 bu. and soybeans 1 bu. which led to lower production and ending stocks.
Scott Varilek of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle futures are digesting another week of record cash trade at $320 dressed, up $5 and the South traded some $200 live, up $4.
Grains are firmer ahead of USDA reports and 45Z guidance.
Grains are firmer ahead of USDA reports and 45Z guidance.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn has rallied nearly $1 and soybeans around 50 cents off the lows. So production and ending stocks will need to come in well under trade estimates in the USDA reports for prices to push higher.
Farmers and trade anticipate final numbers from the crop production summary on Friday. The latest information from WASDE, winter wheat seedings and quarterly stocks will be available tomorrow.
Federal Reserve officials expect inflation to continue slowing this year, but also saw a rising risk that price pressures may remain sticky.
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says corn and soybeans saw pressure from some rain added to the 11-15 day weather forecast in Argentina and Southern Brazil and USDA report positioning. Cattle saw profit taking and maybe some reaction to the border opening to Mexican feeder cattle imports soon.
Rich Nelson with Allendale, Inc. says grain markets are seeing early pressure with a rebound in the U.S. dollar index back near recent highs, but also watching South American weather and ahead of USDA reports on Friday.
Grassley criticized EPA for relying heavily on foreign records to verify compliance with the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), calling the approach inadequate.
The uncertainty surrounding potential U.S. tariffs is already exerting significant pressure on the global economy, according to a Bloomberg Economics model.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says corn and soybeans came back from early profit taking pressure to end steady as trader position ahead of Friday’s USDA reports and watch South American weather.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says corn and soybeans are seeing profit taking and farmer selling after hitting chart resistance on Monday at previous highs and retreating.
The U.S. Treasury Department’s new regulations for the Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit (45V) broaden eligibility for hydrogen producers utilizing biomethane or renewable natural gas (RNG).
Southern California’s prolonged dry spell — nearly eight months with negligible rain — is straining agriculture and raising concerns about wildfire risks.
Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing says corn, soybeans and soybean meal saw fund buying and weather premium being added early in the session with hot and dry weather forecasts for 15 days out in Argentina and Southern Brazil.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures recovered nicely from Friday’s selloff with some contracts making new highs for the move, pricing in record cash cattle trade. Grain markets are seeing fund buying with soybeans and meal leading on dry weather forecasts for Argentina.
A new economic study paints a troubling picture of the potential results a renewed U.S./China trade war could have on farmers and the ag sector.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn and soybeans saw early pressure as both markets ran up into chart resistance which triggered fund profit taking.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn and soybeans both ran up into chart resistance and are seeing some profit taking by technical traders.
Sen. Katie Britt (R-Ala.) criticized the Biden administration for allegedly conducting secretive renegotiations of key trade agreements.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says corn and soybeans were higher on technical buying and adding some weather premium with a hot dry extended forecast for Argentina and Southern Brazil. Cattle futures followed record cash in the South.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says corn scored a new six month high close for the move on dryness in the extended forecast in Argentina and funds adding to their long position.
Brazil’s central bank made another intervention on the final trading day of the year to stabilize the real.
Highlights of a look ahead at 2025 from Dr. Vince Malanga, president of LaSalle Economics.
With strong demand fundamentals the corn market may be able to continue to march higher. Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says he’s not ruling out $5 corn but it will take several factors to push to that level.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures are extending gains after a higher week in the futures and with higher cash trade. Grains are seeing technical buying but dryness in Argentina is also a concern.
Tommy Grisafi with Nesvick Trading Company says the grain markets saw light holiday trade and rebalancing of portfolios end of year. However, the higher weekly closes were encouraging, especially corn at a six month high.
The mere threat of his universal tariffs is sparking a scramble that’s leaving the global trading system prone to bottlenecks, saddled with higher costs and vulnerable to disruptions should an economic shock come along.
Brazil’s soybean and corn exports revealed contrasting performances in November, according to the latest Logistics Bulletin from the National Supply Company (Conab).
Corn ethanol, along with other feedstocks, could play a pivotal role in supplying SAF for the aviation industry, which accounts for about 2.5% of global greenhouse gas emissions.