Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Tommy Grisafi says old crop corn closes below $4 and may still not be low enough with the current ending stocks.
So, will the farmer selling dry up next week or will the funds take their foot off the accelerator? Grisafi says, “If the funds are still adding to their short position this could get really ugly.”
Some fields have a spot that consistently does not produce, but don’t ignore those acres. If 156 acres average 200 bu. per acre, but 4 acres average 20 bu., the yield on the 160-acre field drops to 195.5 bu. per acre.
Grains see fund and farmer selling and weekly exports were weak in soybeans & wheat. Cattle rally heading into the COF report, hogs also see new near term highs w/higher cash. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, has more.
El Niño persists, although a steady weakening trend is evident in the oceanic indicators, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
AgDay TV Markets Now: DuWayne Bosse says the funds aren’t the only ones selling in the grain markets and pushing priced down.
EPA announced it will allow Midwest states to request year-round availability of E15 fuel starting in 2025.
Corn & beans make more new lows and it’s not just fund selling. Wheat erases early gains as well. Live cattle reverse off near term highs pre-COF, hogs close above resistance. DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, has more.
Cattle hit new near-term highs on any pullback. Hogs higher pushed by cash. Corn bounces off contract lows following wheat. Soybeans struggle with better SA weather. Sott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Mexico will continue to buy corn from the U.S. for livestock feed and industrial use, despite the ongoing formal dispute over its ban on imports of genetically modified (GM) corn for human consumption.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says, “When we get down to these levels, I look at what kind of psychological support might be around $4? I personally don’t think you break $4 this early in the growing season.”
Grains end lower on profit taking and farmer selling before the end of the month. Cattle make new highs for the move but are the bulls too optimistic about the CoF Report? Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net has insight.
Brazil’s biodiesel mandate will increase to 14% (B14) on March 1, and 15% (B15) in 2025. That’s already having an impact on Brazil’s domestic soyoil market.
Grains are not able to extend Tuesday’s gains with profit taking and farmer selling, plus rain chances in Argentina. Cattle are strong heading into the COF. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Arlan Suderman, StoneX, explains what drove the rare grain rally on Tuesday, especially in wheat.
The company, owned by Shell Plc and Cosan SA, sees economic sense in producing SAF in Brazil given it requires such large volumes of the feedstock.
Grains higher on fund short covering on Red Sea shipping concerns and China lowering mortgage rates. Cattle make new highs but end mixed. Hogs rally withhigher cash and cutouts. Arlan Suderman, StoneX, has more.
Cattle futures consolidate then hit new highs for the move. Hogs and grains strong on China economic news as they lower interest rates. Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Can U.S. farmers achieve USDA’s record yield estimate of 181 bushels per acre on corn and 52 bushels on soybeans with the latest weather outlook for the 2024 growing season? Rich Nelson, Allendale, has the answer.
At USDA’s 100th Agricultural Outlook Forum, Secretary Tom Vilsack again proposed innovative approaches, such as utilizing CCC funds creatively, to address farm bill funding challenges.
Soybeans see short covering, with more fund selling in corn and wheat into contract lows. Cattle make new highs for the move, can they keep going? Hogs firm but hit chart resistance. Rich Nelson, Allendale, has more.
AgDay TV Market Now: Rich Nelson with Allendale says funds keep selling despite holding the second longest short position in history.
Gulke has heard the argument that the funds hold a near-record short position in the grain and oilseed complex and will eventually need to exit those positions. However, he says it’s not that simple.
A recap of this week’s price action with outlook broken down into the next 5, 30 and 90 day segments.
Corn and soybeans pop on shortcovering, wheat fails with a higher dollar. Cattle extend gains despite softer cash, hogs fall hitting chart resistance. Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, has details.
The International Grains Council (IGC) raised its forecast for 2023-24 global corn production to a fresh record high.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Darin Newsom Discusses When Grain Prices Will Find a Bottom
Grains hit new lows with more fund selling. Is there anything that can bottom the grain markets? Financial markets and crude oil ended higher. While cattle rebound despite lower cash. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has more.
U.S. export prices unexpectedly rose 0.8% month-over-month in January, defying market expectations of a 0.1% decrease.
Cattle drift digesting lower cash trade. Hogs reverse a lower start on strong weekly exports. Grains make new lows on USDA Ag Outlook data but soybeans bounce. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.