Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
Cotton surged to a two-and-a-half-month high in early trade and notched gains for the fourth straight session amid U.S. dollar weakness, a rally in equities and robust export demand.
Grains close mixed & fail to confirm a low with a lack of follow through in corn & soybeans after reversals, strong weekly exports and China soybean biz. Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, has more.
We asked seven commodity market analysts to give commodity market outlooks for 2024 With their insights, the bearish market conditions will carry over, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for soybeans over corn.
Grains extend gains after reversals, with strong exports & China soybean sales. Kevin Duling, KD Investors, says he can’t confirm a low yet. Cattle consolidate ahead of COF, while crude oil sees profit taking as well.
Cattle 2-sided after chart breakout, awaiting cash and the COF. Hogs continue to correct. Grains extending gains after reversals and with better export news. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.
Dan Basse: “Importantly, managed money is sitting on their largest net short CBOT grain position in four years.”
Naomi Blohm: “The U.S. soybean story remains quite friendly to start 2024 with historically small ending stocks and strong crush demand.”
Peter Meyer says, “Both the corn and soybean markets will need to take their lead from changes in both global and domestic demand given the production shortfall stories have become stale.”
Chip Nellinger says, “Producers should be prepared to be more aggressive than years past in protecting downside price risk.”
“Near term, the soybean market has a loftier perch with a tight balance sheet emerging from supply headwinds,” says Mike North.
“It’s difficult to find anything bullish to say about corn for 2024.” says Jon Scheve.
Angie Setzer says, “With their new trade agreement with Brazil, China is likely to import less corn from the U.S. in 2023.”
The International Energy Agency (IEA) further raised its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast, though its projection remains lower than OPEC’s expectations.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Grains Finally Rally but Jim McCormick Discusses if the Market Can Build on it
AgDay TV Markets Now: Grains finally close higher but can the markets build on it? Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net, has the answer.
New non-real estate farm lending activity at commercial banks continued to decline in the fourth quarter, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Grains finally end higher, but can the market build on it? Cattle make new highs for the move pre-COF, while crude oil rallies in a risk on day. Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net has more.
Grains have all traded 2-sided with fund selling on a lack of bullish news, still searching for lows. Cattle stage impressive rally ahead of COF & cash news, hogs struggle. DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, has analysis.
Corn & wheat see more fund selling, beans struggle to bounce. What will turn these markets around? Cattle up with beef, COF, await cash. Interest rate talk hits outside markets. Darin Newsom, Barchart, has more.
Central bankers need to watch their step when it comes time to consider lowering rates, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Allison Thompson, The Money Farm, says grains see fund selling with a risk off day in outside markets, China’s GDP tanks soybeans and meal.
Drought effects on Brazil’s soybean crop size are well documented. What hasn’t gotten much attention are impacts adverse weather has had on soybean quality.
Grains fall on risk off technical selling. Beans & meal led losses on China’s GDP news. Corn, KC & MN wheat hit contract lows. Cattle rebound despite bearish outside markets. Allison Thompson, The Money Farm, has more.
Soybeans fall on China GDP news, while corn and wheat struggle to hold early gains. Why? Cattle consolidate awaiting cash, while hogs struggle with processing hiccpus. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, has details.
Risk off outside markets & China GDP data pressures soybeans, corn is following wheat with short covering. Cattle see profit taking after the chart breakout. Hogs consolidate. Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, has more.
In recent months, USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack has suggested Congress should use the Commodity Credit Corp. (CCC), Charter Act to find a “creative way” to raise reference prices in the next farm bill.
AgDay TV Markets Now: Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, says corn falls on report hangover, bearish outside markets, while soybeans bounce with record crush but may not hold report day lows.
Besides the hot and dry conditions that damaged Brazil’s soybean crop through December, excess rainfall in certain areas of these same states is disrupting harvesting.
Corn falls on report hangover, lower wheat, bearish outside markets. Soybeans pop on a record crush, lower Brazil crop. Cattle see a chart breakout on wx, higher beef, cash ideas. Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, has more.
Corn sees report hangover with lower wheat, soybeans pop with lower Brazil crop, record crush. Cattle try to hold gains watching wx, cash, while hogs look tired. Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company, has more.
Cattle holding gains on weather, higher beef and despite weaker So, cash. Hogs fall as slaughter backs up. Corn & soybeans try to hold Friday’s lows, but are the lows in? Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, has more.