Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says, “This is, you know, basically 8 million metric ton or roughly 294 million bushels of added soybean demand that we were not expecting.”
Traders want proof from China of the potential soybean buys according to Joe Vaclavik of Standard Grain.
Tyler Schau of AgMarket says cattle futures make new highs for the move on higher cash and the report tailwind. Soybeans followed soybean oil which rallied as Treasury released 45Z guidance and that pulled up corn.
Matt Bennett with AgMarket.Net says it was a money flow day as grains were influenced by the selloff in crude oil and the precious metal markets, plus the higher dollar.
Ag market activity Friday and much of the week was dominated by money flow and spillover from outside markets like the metals, the energies, and the dollar. That’s according to Allison Thompson with The Money Farm.
USDA’s annual report reveals the smallest total herd since 1951, with beef cow numbers falling to 27.6 million despite a slight uptick in replacement heifers.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle markets have gotten caught up in the outside market money flow but are also seeing some caution ahead of the USDA semi-annual cattle inventory report to be released Friday.
Grain markets were higher overnight and on the opening Thursday making multi-week highs and new highs for the move before failing. Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says the asset reallocation in the outside markets spilled over into the ag markets.
Alan Brugler with A&E Economics, Inc. says funds buying in the grains Wednesday and early Thursday was tied to money flow. The key to keeping it going is to get through chart resistance.
Grains markets ended higher across the complex, driven mostly by money flow according to Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing.
Jamie Gieseke with Paradigm Futures says soybeans were also getting a push from South American weather, with wheat adding risk premium on U.S. weather concerns.
Soybeans and soybean oil saw a higher day on Tuesday driven by hopes President Trump would make a biofuels policy announcement regarding 45Z or the RVO proposal while speaking in Iowa after the market close says Naomi Blohm with Total Farm Marketing.
Soybeans and bean oil were slightly higher on Tuesday morning with hopes President Trump may make an announcement or at least talk positive about the 45Z program according to Mark Schultz with Northstar Commodity.
Sam Hudson with Corn Belt Marketing says the grain markets all hit technical resistance on the charts and may have seen profit taking.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says he was concerned the trade might view a slightly bearish Cattle on Feed report placement number as a reason to sell but the market was more focused on the higher cash trade Friday.
Grain markets closed strong on Friday and posted higher weekly closes across the complex. What drove the rally? Jim McCormick of AgMarket.Net points to a few notable factors.
Live and feeder cattle futures were weaker to start Friday as the market was seeing some profit taking and caution ahead of the USDA Cattle on Feed Report according to Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek.
Brad Kooima discusses the drivers behind current cattle market volatility and how supply shortages are shaping packer strategies.
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says wheat saw support on a combination of technical buying or short covering and the market was adding some weather premium.
Soybeans continued to rally on Thursday. Lane Akre, economist with Pro Farmer, says this isn’t just short covering.
Greg McBride with Allendale, Inc. says hot, dry weather is expected in much of Argentina and Southern Brazil in the next 10 days and it is hitting at the critical pod filling stage for some of the soybean crop.
Soybean futures are higher early Wednesday with the easing of risk-off selling pressure.
Grains futures consolidated on Tuesday with risk-off selling tied to outside market concerns regarding possible EU tariffs and retaliation according to Oliver Sloup with Blue Line Futures.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says with the confirmation of no cases of NWS in the U.S. the cattle market should rebound Tuesday. However, with outside markets seeing risk off selling that may temper some of the buying interest in cattle.
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says with corn and soybean prices plunging at the beginning of the week in response to the bearish USDA report, the lower price levels stimulated end user buying.
Joe Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures were down early on liquidation ahead of the three day weekend, lack of fed cash news and a rumor of NWS in the U.S.
John Heinberg with Total Farm Marketing says soybeans rallied with the surging bean oil market on Thursday on talk of favorable biofuels policy in the Renewable Fuels Standard.
Don Roose with U.S. Commodities says the bearish USDA report news has been largely factored in but corn and soybeans are establishing new lower trading ranges.
Corn and soybeans try to bounce Wednesday morning. Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says some of this is short covering or corrective buying as the market was oversold but he’s not sure the bearish USDA news is all digested.
Brian Grete with Commstock Investments says the corn market is still trying to digest the shock of USDA’s January reports. March corn futures came within striking distance of the Aug. 12 low at $4.10.