Market Analysis
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says while he is short term bearish on corn his longer-term outlook is still bullish.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities says corn and wheat end lower with soybeans higher Friday evening up positions ahead of the weekend.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are awaiting cash direction with producers and feedlots holding out for higher money. Grains are mixed after a higher close on Thursday.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says grain markets rebounded Thursday on technical buying after holding and bouncing off support areas. Strong export demand was also positive.
Mark Knight, Farmers Keeper Financial, says grains are seeing a technical bounce off support areas wtih strong weekly exports.
Alan Brugler with A&N Economics, LLC. says the tariff escalation once again weighed on the grain markets with the EU putting retaliatory tariffs on U.S. grains and threats that Canada would put levies on U.S. ethanol imports.
John Heinberg with Total Farm Marketing says grain and livestock both saw risk off selling tied to trade uncertainty, bearish outside markets and recessionary fears.
Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures says corn is extending gains for a 5th session still in recovery mode after the panic liquidation tied to tariffs. Soybeans rebounded early.
Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, says soybeans and the products saw significant pressure tied to risk off selling and South American harvest pressure, while the rest of the markets were able to shake that off.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live cattle see buying interest after strong cash late last week. Corn tries to hold gains with soybeans seeing South American harvest pressure and concern about China’s 10% tariffs on U.S. soybeans.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says despite the volatility tied to tariffs, the corn and soybean markets closed only slightly lower for the week and Gulke was impressed at the reset off the lows that produced a hook reversal on the charts.
Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says it was roller coaster week in both grain and livestock futures due to on again, off again tariff talk. Are calmer waters ahead?
Varilek says black swan events like the Black Sea war that broke in May of 2022 lead to highly volatile markets but in that case the news and uncertainty became priced in over time.
Allison Thompson of The Money Farm says grains markets extended gains for a second day with talk of ag exemptions and then another 30 day extension on tariffs on Mexico and Canada.
Jim McCormick with AgMarket.Net says the grain markets made new lows for the move on fund liquidation and technical selling pressure tied to trade retaliation by Canada, Mexico and China.
After several weeks of being bullish on corn, Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, bought protection against downside risk in the market. What changed his mind? It was signs he saw even before USDA released it’s corn acreage at the Ag Outlook Forum.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, says the technical selling pressure hit commodity and outside markets and was tied to uncertainty regarding tariffs being placed on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and bearish economic news.
Joe Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the grain markets bounced overnight and saw a higher opening but funds used that strength to liquidate or sell more contracts.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm, says corn and wheat are reacting negatively to the breaking news that 25% tariffs will not be delayed and will go into effect on March 4 on Canada and Mexico and larger acreage estimates from USDA.
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says grains saw pressure on the continued on again off again new regarding tariffs.
Craig Turner with StoneX says corn tries to hold early gains after bouncing off chart support Tuesday but may struggle with soybeans and wheat falling on tariff fears and liquidation ahead of first notice day.
Vince Boddicker with Farmers Trading Company says grains saw pressure early Tuesday on tariff fears and fund positioning end of month but ended well off of lows.
Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst with Barchart, says grains are seeing follow through technical selling pressure with tariff fears ramping up.
Naomi Blohm, Total Farm Marketing says a combination of factors pressured grain markets, including end of month positioning, weather and tariff concerns.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says grains are weak on more tariff talk. Cattle opened strong with the slightly friendly numbers in the Cattle on Feed Reported Report and a possible cash bottom forming.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, thinks the corn market may just be taking a pause to refresh and he hasn’t changed his bullish stance. “I’m willing to have some patience,” he says.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says corn and soybeans fell heading into the weekend on profit taking and technical selling, plus lower crude oil and a higher dollar.
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says corn and soybeans are lower on profit taking after a higher day yesterday.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, says soybeans and products led the rally and recovery on talk of a China deal by President Trump and a lower dollar. That spilled over to support corn.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says corn made new highs for the move with the March contract reaching a high of $5.04 1/2 before reversing and ending lower on the day. The key is was it topping action?