Market Analysis
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says despite the volatility tied to tariffs, the corn and soybean markets closed only slightly lower for the week and Gulke was impressed at the reset off the lows that produced a hook reversal on the charts.
Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says it was roller coaster week in both grain and livestock futures due to on again, off again tariff talk. Are calmer waters ahead?
Varilek says black swan events like the Black Sea war that broke in May of 2022 lead to highly volatile markets but in that case the news and uncertainty became priced in over time.
Allison Thompson of The Money Farm says grains markets extended gains for a second day with talk of ag exemptions and then another 30 day extension on tariffs on Mexico and Canada.
Jim McCormick with AgMarket.Net says the grain markets made new lows for the move on fund liquidation and technical selling pressure tied to trade retaliation by Canada, Mexico and China.
After several weeks of being bullish on corn, Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, bought protection against downside risk in the market. What changed his mind? It was signs he saw even before USDA released it’s corn acreage at the Ag Outlook Forum.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, says the technical selling pressure hit commodity and outside markets and was tied to uncertainty regarding tariffs being placed on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and bearish economic news.
Joe Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the grain markets bounced overnight and saw a higher opening but funds used that strength to liquidate or sell more contracts.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm, says corn and wheat are reacting negatively to the breaking news that 25% tariffs will not be delayed and will go into effect on March 4 on Canada and Mexico and larger acreage estimates from USDA.
Mark Schultz, Northstar Commodity, says grains saw pressure on the continued on again off again new regarding tariffs.