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Update on Key Policy Issues: June 9, 2017

Update on key energy, trade and farm policy issues.

U.S. Sugar Industry Scores Win Via Trade Suspension Agreement Redo

U.S. sugar producer and processor lobbyists won a lot in the revised sugar trade suspension agreement with Mexico, despite U.S. interests withholding support.

The Week Ahead: June 5-11, 2017

Lawmakers return from the Memorial Day break with heavy attention on the coming testimony of former FBI Director James Comey, while infrastructure is the White House focus.

Beef Into China: Unprecedented Opportunity With Excellent Potential

Imagine if the average Chinese person were to consume just a single pound of U.S. beef per year.

Commerce's Ross Eyes NAFTA Talks Wrap-Up by January 2018

Getting NAFTA renegotiations with Canada and Mexico completed by January 2018 marks the "best window" for the discussions to conclude, according to US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross.

Fed's Beige Book: Slower Growth in Some Regions

Economic activity continued to expand at a "modest or moderate pace" from early April through late May, though not all Federal Reserve districts shared that sentiment, according to the Beige Book.

The Week Ahead: May 29-June 4, 2017

Both the House and Senate are out for a Memorial Day break, so the focus will be on the White House.

Biodiesel Tax Credit Change Supported by Treasury Secretary

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he would support a plan backed by Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) to provide a tax credit to biodiesel producers rather than to fuel blenders.

Putting the Proposed Trump Ag Budget Cuts into Perspective

If Congress and lobby groups have taught us anything in over 40 years of watching them, it is that most never want to reduce spending taxpayers’ money; in fact, they usually want increases.

FOMC Minutes: June Remains Live for Rate Increase

Despite a downbeat first quarter of 2017, “most” Fed members indicated that if economic results unfolded as they expect, it would “soon” be appropriate to take another step to tighten monetary policy.

The Week Ahead: May 22-28, 2017

Mandatory budget cuts including agriculture subsidies are likely to be proposed this week via President Donald Trump’s Fiscal Year 2018 budget proposals and, more importantly, by the House Budget Committee.

Former Fed Chief Bernanke 'Puzzled' by Markets Ignoring Political Risks

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he is “puzzled” by markets ignoring political risks, with market focus on such events heightening at “the last minute.” It’s tick-tock time.

Highlights of USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue Before House Agriculture Committee

USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue appeared Wednesday before the House Agriculture Committee to discuss the state of the rural economy. Panel members asked him about several farm and trade policy issues.

Trump Troubles Getting More Serious
Trump Troubles Getting More Serious

The self-inflicted wounds of President Donald Trump may turn into more than just pinpricks.

The Agriculture Letter: Farm Bill Developments

The latest newsletter has details on the pork industry, trade developments and much more...

Key USDA Positions Reportedly Set

Key USDA positions are set to be announced.

PERSPECTIVE: Why Traders Should Pay Attention to Comey/Russia Developments

Financial and commodity traders typically do not like to follow policy-related developments, until they either cost them money or make them profits.

President Trump Unexpectedly Fires FBI Director

The turbulent Trump administration continues following the unexpected firing of FBI Director James Comey.

Mexico Rejects US Sugar-Trade Proposal as Too Restrictive
Mexico Rejects US Sugar-Trade Proposal as Too Restrictive

A U.S. proposal on bilateral sugar trade with Mexico was called too restrictive and was rejected by the head of Mexico's sugar chamber, Juan Cortina.

The Week Ahead: May 8-14, 2017

The House is out but the Senate is in during a relatively quiet week ahead for Washington.

Perdue Touches on Trade Policy, Ethanol in Iowa Remarks

USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue’s speech was not his “first major farm policy address", as he spoke mostly “from the heart” and not from the 17 pages he said some staff had written for him.

April Employment: What You Need to Know

The Employment report numbers today gave the Federal Reserve most if not all the reasoning it needed to boost interest rates in June.

Meet the Farm Program Bullies: Stabenow and Leahy

The try-to-take-and-run maneuvers made by two northern-state senators against U.S. cotton producers continue to generate barbed but on-the-mark responses from other key lawmakers.

The Week Ahead: May 1-7, 2017

Lawmakers reached a budget agreement for the remaining months of Fiscal Year 2017, which ends September 30. Cotton and dairy farm program language did not make it in the final budget package.

Mexico is Finding Its Place in the Global Economy

A Mexican lawmaker wants to ban the import of corn grown in the United States.

Trump Trade, Foreign Policy Strategy: All Bluster or Art of the Deal?

President Trump's proponents keep saying to read the president's book, The Art of the Deal. Is that in the non-fiction or fiction section? Or perhaps the alternative non-faction category.

Trump and NAFTA: Media, Groups Sucked in on White House Policy Conflicts

It is always important to know who is telling what regarding potential Trump administration policy moves.

Is a Mini-Farm Bill Coming Via Spending Measure?

"Do not open the farm bill" is the mantra when the farm sector wants no changes. But when they do want changes, a must-have bill is the vehicle for change.

Update on Farm, Trade, Budget, Tax Issues

The slow-then-fast Congress is in a likely short-run fast period, so here are some updates of some policy issues of note.

The Week Ahead: April 24-30, 2017

A Senate vote today on Sonny Perdue as the new USDA Secretary and a White House agriculture-related meeting on Tuesday are the key focus items for the week ahead.

Trump: New NAFTA Details Coming by First Week of May

Details on renegotiation of the North American Free Trade (NAFTA) agreement will come between now and the first week of May, President Donald Trump pledged today.

Fed's Beige Book: Growth Split Between Modest & Moderate

Says U.S. economic activity from mid-February to the end of March was split between modest and moderate.

RFA Report: Ethanol Consumption Penetrates Blend Wall in 2016

The Renewable Fuel Association says the data shows that the 10% blend wall is "not a real constraint on ethanol consumption in the United States."

Test for Trump Impact in Georgia Special Election

The spend-happy Hollywood types have poured money into a special election today in Georgia to replace former Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.) who was picked by President Donald Trump to head up Health and Human Services (HHS).

Economist Encouraged by Growth in Productivity

Consultant economist Dr. Vince Malanga of LaSalle Economics, Inc. sees signs the worse is behind in terms of productivity growth.

The Week Ahead: April 17-23, 2017

Lawmakers are on recess while trips abroad and North Korea capture Washington's attention. Meanwhile, the IMF and World Bank hold their spring meetings in Washington.

The Week Ahead: April 10-16, 2017

Congress is on a two-week recess but has a lot of unfinished work when they return, including the Senate voting on USDA Secretary-nominee Sonny Perdue.

U.S. Beef, Financial Products Get Initial Wins in Trump-Xi Summit

The past week’s summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping yields initial wins for U.S. beef and financial product trade, but no North Korea agreement.

U.S. March Employment Report: What You Need to Know

The U.S. jobs report released this morning will not impact what the Federal Reserve has in store for U.S. interest rates. As the Wall Street Journal noted, the report is "mostly just weather-related noise."

March Employment Report Weak Relative to Expectations

Consulting economist Vince Malanga reacts to the report.

More on Tax Reform and Agribusiness Concerns

Farm-state lawmakers and especially farm groups like to get rather than give, and that is clearly the message in the ongoing tax reform debate.

Farm-State Lawmakers Blast House GOP Plan to Eliminate Interest Deduction

Tax reform bills are never easy and that was made clear during a House Agriculture Committee hearing.

Ag Trade Balance Tightens in February

But for FY 2017, the ag trade surplus is up notably from year-ago.

Trump Trade Policy: Lots of Hurdles Ahead

Uncertainty is the best word to describe the current version of President Donald Trump's trade policy.

The Week Ahead: April 3-9, 2017

A Senate vote on Neil Gorsuch as a Supreme Court justice, a meeting between US and Chinese leaders, more House farm bill hearings, and a Friday Employment report are the highlights from Washington this week.

The Agriculture Letter Newsletter: Implications for Major Policy Initiatives Ahead

The aftermath of the GOP pulling back health-care reform has a wide range of implications. The Ag Letter newsletter has details...

Policy Update: March 31, 2017

It may take until may to get Sonny Perdue confirmed on the Senate floor, but he's a shoo-in for the top spot at USDA.

Notice for NAFTA Talks Planned for Week of April 3

The Trump administration hopes to notify Congress the week of April 3 of its intention to launch trade negotiations with Canada and Mexico, Democratic lawmakers said following a meeting with Trump trade officials.

Perdue Could Get Senate Vote Before Easter Recess

USDA Secretary-nominee Sonny Perdue just may get a Senate confirmation vote before the Senate departs for Easter.

The Week Ahead: March 27-April 2, 2017

Health-care reform, or more accurately the lack of it, cold still be a backdrop in Washington in the week ahead, but it will mostly be color the outlook for other issues.