USDA Reports

USDA’s Ag Outlook Forum in Washington, D.C., this past week confirmed growing stocks in 2024/2025. Analysts say without a sudden supply disruption, the commodity price outlook remains grim.
Oklahoma State’s Derrell Peel points out with the U.S. beef cow herd the smallest since 1961 and the all cattle inventory the lowest since 1951, it’s setting the cattle market up for higher highs.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, considers the bounce off the lows a victory: “This was a win, even though we had markets down a little bit for the week.”
What caused the price pressure again this week? Naomi Blohm of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and John Payne of hEDGEpoint Global join U.S. Farm Report to discuss what the market is watching.
March corn hit a new contract low of $4.41 on Friday. Will corn see more pressure trying to price in extra bushels? March soybeans also hit a low of $12.06. Will $12 support hold without a drop in Brazil production?
With larger-than-expected yield revisions to both corn and soybeans, it leaves one burning question: which states grew such big yields in 2023? USDA NASS released maps and charts to help answer that.
USDA’s final look at crop production for 2023 caught the commodity markets by surprise. The agency increased the final yield estimates for both corn and soybeans, and as a result, prices plummeted on Friday.
Despite weather concerns sprouting in Brazil, USDA didn’t make any major adjustments to the South American crop in Friday’s reports. Increased demand from China and Mexico prompted USDA to trim U.S. ending stocks.
USDA upped its corn yield estimate by nearly 2 bu. to a 174.9 bu. per acre national yield. The agency also increased its demand estimate, which softened the potential blow of such a big jump in production.
Jon Scheve discusses why corn may trade in a sideways range through harvest. However, beans might have more opportunity.
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