Wheat
Ted Seifried with Zaner Ag Hedge says markets were removing war premium but the key is will the ceasefire stick and does the Strait of Hormuz get reopened?
Corn, wheat and crude oil were lower after a possible two week cease fire between the U.S. and Iran. says Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag.
In Texas, for example, more than half of the winter wheat is rated poor to very poor. USDA Meteorologist Brad Rippey says the state recently endured its fourth-driest stretch from September to February in the last 131 years.
The commodity wide selling pressure was tied to risk aversion and uncertainty regarding the escalation of the Iran War according to Mark Knight with Farmers Keeper Financial.
Corn and soybeans ended slightly higher with a push from slightly higher crude oil and swirling Iran war headlines according to Chuck Shelby with Risk Management Commodities.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the live cattle futures are chasing sharply higher cash trade from last week.
Shawn Hackett with Hackett Financial Advisors says corn and soybeans are experiencing war fatigue and are tired of chasing every headline.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst with Barchart says the grains are chasing the sharply higher crude oil prices which were up over $10 and Iran war headlines.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says the grain markets markets were removing war and weather premium. Will that continue with if the Iran war is indeed over?
USDA’s March 2026 Prospective Plantings report produced no major surprises, but the bigger story may be the fact only 37.6% of farmers responded, the lowest participation in history for that survey.
DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing says with the reports out of the way the grain market has gone back to trading Iran war headlines and following the crude oil market
Arlan Suderman with StoneX some of the support in the grains Tuesday came from money flow but lower wheat and soybean acreage than anticipated also added to the buying interest.
Corn falls to 95.3M acres (-3%) while soybeans rise to 84.7M (+4%). Wheat hits a record low 43.8M acres (-3%) and cotton climbs to 9.64M (+4%).
Corn, soybeans and bean oil futures ended lower on Friday fading EPA’s final Renewable Fuel Standard volumes. Dan Basse, Ag Resource Company, says the news was already priced into the markets.
Soybeans futures extended nice gains from Wednesday with demand optimism surrounding the rescheduling of the China summit for May 14 -15 and the announcement of RVOs says Jim McCormick of AgMarket.Net.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm thinks the grains markets are starting to divorce from the influence of war headlines and trade their own fundamentals.
Soybeans were slightly higher early but saw buying accelerate and the bull spreads kick in after the White House announced a new date for the China summit says Kevin Duling of KD Investors.
Jamie Gieseke with Paradigm Futures says the energy and grain markets are still chasing headlines trying to determine a fair prices. However, farmers need to ignore that noise when trying to make marketing decisions.
Mike Zuzolo with Global Commodity Analytics says corn and wheat followed the energy markets but also added weather premium. Soybeans were lower as China has eased its phytosanitary rules to take Brazil beans.
Corn futures were back higher on Tuesday morning following a recovery in the crude oil market says Vince Boddicker with Farmer Trading Company.
Brian Grete with CommStock Investments says corn and wheat fell with crude oil as the President announced a 5-day pause in the military strikes in Iran.
Darren Frye with Water Street Solutions says longer term if energy prices stay higher the funds could continue to buy grains on inflation fears but he’s not sure about a full super cycle without several factors falling into place.
Mike Minor with Professional Ag Marketing says grains were mostly lower on Friday with profit taking heading into the weekend due to increased volatility and uncertainty regarding the Iran conflict.
Winter wheat may have already been damaged in January and February due to extreme cold and the lack of snow cover in many areas.
Oliver Sloup with Blue Line Futures says funds were in buying on a combination of higher crude oil futures and money flow.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle and hogs are struggling Thursday with the set back in the equity markets.
The survey of farmers in 26 states mirrored the projections from USDA’s Ag Outlook Forum in February.
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the ongoing Iran war and higher crude oil prices helped drive speculative buying interest in grains.
Brady Huck from Empower Ag Trading says, “After the volatility that we’ve seen over the last couple of weeks, sometimes these markets just need to find some stability.
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says the limit down day in old crop soybeans was tied to the fear that the meeting between President Trump and President Xi scheduled for China at the end of the month will be delayed due to the war.