Market Analysis
Jerry Gulke shares three things to know about the state of corn, soybean and wheat prices.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says row crops have had a tough week making new lows — and Friday is off to a similar start.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says the trade is leaning too bearish heading into the reports, but corn and soybeans have also experienced selling tied to improved weather and other factors.
DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, says the trade is leaning too bearish heading into the USDA reports, but corn and soybeans just can’t seem to put in a low.
Grains try to bounce after making near term lows Tuesday. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says markets are trading weather and positioning ahead of delivery and USDA reports.
Don Roose of U.S. Commodities says funds are selling in the grains markets due to bearish technical signals and lower seasonals, plus gearing up for bearish USDA Reports.
Grains see another bloodbath on Tuesday with new lows for the move scored across the complex. Don Roose of U.S. Commodities says funds are aggressively selling and are record short for this time of year.
Grains break to new lows on fund selling says Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag. He says the market is totally disregarding lower crop ratings and flooding in the Northwestern Corn Belt.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, says corn and beans took out the March lows and may have put in exhaustion lows. “It looks to me like the grain markets are washed out here,” he states.
Shawn Hackett, Hackett Financial Advisors, says soybeans rally with corrective buying following meal, but corn and wheat end mostly lower ahead of USDA Reports.
Ag markets are mostly lower Monday except cattle and nearby soybeans. The record cash cattle trade is trumping the bearish Cattle on Feed Report, says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says every year weather can make the markets volatile, making it difficult for farmers to price their grain or do risk management.
Milk prices had a nearly $5 rally from the April lows but have since pulled back. Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says cheese prices will dictate where prices head next and so far consumer demand has stalled.
The Fed is expected to start lowering interest rates by the end of the year. Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst with Barchart, says this may keep fund money away from the grain markets.
Row crops recovered on Tuesday, while cattle posted another lower day. Brad Kooima, Kooima Varilek says all those markets saw corrective action.
Live cattle futures fall a second day in what Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek calls routine profit taking. Row crops see a technical bounce with lower crop ratings.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says corn and soybeans try to bounce as they are technically oversold and with a 2% drop in crop ratings, wheat tries to follow but fails.
Grain markets were sharply lower on Monday on fund selling and improved extended weather forecasts for the Eastern Corn Belt says Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures
Grains were sharply lower on fund selling, but row crops were also pressed by extended weather. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says technical damage has been done on grain charts. While livestock saw consolidation.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains will be watching weather and gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports in the week ahead.
A lackluster WASDE report had the same effect on the markets this week. Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, doesn’t think there’s going to be a whole lot of change in acreage in USDA’s report at the end of June.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains end lower. Row crops see profit taking, with harvest pressure in wheat. Cattle made new near-term highs pushed by record cash, hogs bounce.
Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart, says grains down early on profit taking and hedge pressure in wheat, but watching weather and demand. Cattle continue higher following cash.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, is still optimistic the cattle market will be able to achieve all-time highs again in both cash and futures in the next few months.
The higher day in corn after the WASDE was encouraging to Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, “I’ve kind of been telling folks no new bearish news, is actually good news,” he explains.
Grains end lower except corn after USDA makes on only slight adjustments in the June WASDE. Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says now the market will prep for the month end reports and watch weather.
Grains mixed after the WASDE with very few changes for corn and soybeans. Wheat did see slightly lower U.S. ending stocks and Russian, EU and Ukraine production dropped a total of 8 mmt says Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net.
Cattle rally on strong cash but face a tug of war due to bird flu news says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Hogs try to follow but struggle with sliding cash. Row crops higher, wheat lower correcting pre- report.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says traders evened positions Tuesday going into the USDA reports. However, he’s expecting very few revisions on a U.S. basis so he’s looking at global numbers.
Grains see a corrective day and WASDE report positioning with wheat sharply higher, row crops lower. Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says cattle also saw profit taking ahead of the Fed announcement.