Market Analysis
Milk prices had a nearly $5 rally from the April lows but have since pulled back. Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says cheese prices will dictate where prices head next and so far consumer demand has stalled.
The Fed is expected to start lowering interest rates by the end of the year. Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst with Barchart, says this may keep fund money away from the grain markets.
Row crops recovered on Tuesday, while cattle posted another lower day. Brad Kooima, Kooima Varilek says all those markets saw corrective action.
Live cattle futures fall a second day in what Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek calls routine profit taking. Row crops see a technical bounce with lower crop ratings.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says corn and soybeans try to bounce as they are technically oversold and with a 2% drop in crop ratings, wheat tries to follow but fails.
Grain markets were sharply lower on Monday on fund selling and improved extended weather forecasts for the Eastern Corn Belt says Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures
Grains were sharply lower on fund selling, but row crops were also pressed by extended weather. Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says technical damage has been done on grain charts. While livestock saw consolidation.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains will be watching weather and gearing up for the USDA Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports in the week ahead.
A lackluster WASDE report had the same effect on the markets this week. Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, doesn’t think there’s going to be a whole lot of change in acreage in USDA’s report at the end of June.
Chuck Shelby, Risk Management Commodities, says grains end lower. Row crops see profit taking, with harvest pressure in wheat. Cattle made new near-term highs pushed by record cash, hogs bounce.
Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart, says grains down early on profit taking and hedge pressure in wheat, but watching weather and demand. Cattle continue higher following cash.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, is still optimistic the cattle market will be able to achieve all-time highs again in both cash and futures in the next few months.
The higher day in corn after the WASDE was encouraging to Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, “I’ve kind of been telling folks no new bearish news, is actually good news,” he explains.
Grains end lower except corn after USDA makes on only slight adjustments in the June WASDE. Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures, says now the market will prep for the month end reports and watch weather.
Grains mixed after the WASDE with very few changes for corn and soybeans. Wheat did see slightly lower U.S. ending stocks and Russian, EU and Ukraine production dropped a total of 8 mmt says Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net.
Cattle rally on strong cash but face a tug of war due to bird flu news says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Hogs try to follow but struggle with sliding cash. Row crops higher, wheat lower correcting pre- report.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says traders evened positions Tuesday going into the USDA reports. However, he’s expecting very few revisions on a U.S. basis so he’s looking at global numbers.
Grains see a corrective day and WASDE report positioning with wheat sharply higher, row crops lower. Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says cattle also saw profit taking ahead of the Fed announcement.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says he was impressed with how corn and soybeans managed to end higher on Monday, despite the collapse in wheat.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn and beans end higher, which was impressive considering the collapse of the wheat market which has been down nine days. Cattle rally, while hogs fail.
Cattle futures rally as Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says Northern cash trade topped at $193 live late Friday. Hogs consolidate. Row crops bounce, despite the lower wheat market.
More fund selling Friday in the grains shows the funds are back selling on any rally and reestablishing their short position says Darren Frye, Water Street Solutions.
Darren Frye, Water Street Solutions, says speculators look like they are re-establishing their short positions at least in the corn and soybean markets. “They are selling on any rally,” he says.
“It’s like farmers threw in the towel after getting sick of waiting for better prices or realized they’re going to need bin space,” says Jerry Gulke. He shares four points that might mean lower prices aren’t over yet.
Grains back lower as wheat drags down corn and soybeans and Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says funds are back in sell mode. Cattle are trying to bounce awaiting cash news while hogs are mostly lower again.
Corn and soybeans see double digit gains on short covering and talk of China biz says John Payne, Advance Trading, while wheat struggled. Cattle were hit by more bird flu news, hogs reversed off new lows.
Corn and soybeans see double digit gains on fund short covering after seven down days. John Payne, Advance Trading, says the markets were oversold and due for a correction.
Cattle lower on more bird flu news but at least holding support. Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Hogs make more new lows for the move and may contract lows. Grains see a short covering bounce.
Jeff Hoogendoorn, Professional Ag Marketing, says the cash and cutouts have been stagnant. So, the lean hog futures have continued to take all the premium out of the market to trade down to the index.
Grain and livestock end lower. Hogs make new lows for the move, pulling down cattle but funds are selling in livestock and back selling in grains. Jeff Hoogendoorn, Professional Ag Marketing, wraps up the day.