Latest News From Pro Farmer Analysis

Ukraine ‘Adamantly Against’ Further Grain Export Restrictions by Neighboring Countries
Ukraine ‘Adamantly Against’ Further Grain Export Restrictions by Neighboring Countries

Ukraine strongly opposes the imposition of any restrictions on the import of its grain by neighboring countries after a European Union ban ends on Sept. 15, Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said.

argentina_flag
Major Changes for Argentine Ag/Trade Policy?

The shock front-runner in Argentina’s presidential election, libertarian Javier Milei, would strip out state intervention from the giant farming industry to unleash an export boom.

Soybean Outlook: 5-30-90 days  (Aug. 18)
Soybean Outlook: 5-30-90 days (Aug. 18)

November soybeans rose 23 1/4 cents to $13.53 1/4, closing above the 200-, 20- and 40-day moving averages and gaining 45 3/4 cents on the week.

containers_exports_trade
Container Shipping Rates Surge

Spot container shipping rates on trans-Pacific routes are experiencing a notable upward trend, at least for the time being.

IGC Raises Global Corn Production Forecast
IGC Raises Global Corn Production Forecast

The International Grains Council (IGC) raised its forecast for 2023-24 global corn production, with an improved outlook for Ukraine’s crop only partially offset by a downward revision for China.

Ethanol Plant
Brazilian Grain Giant Begins Soybean-Based Ethanol Sales

Brazilian food and fuel processor Caramuru Alimentos, one of the country’s largest grain crushers, has started selling soybean-based ethanol at one of its plants in center-western Brazil.

ACE Urges Biden to Intervene on Midwest E15 Waiver Rule
ACE Urges Biden to Intervene on Midwest E15 Waiver Rule

The letter also mentions a lawsuit filed by the Attorney Generals of Iowa and Nebraska to compel EPA to finalize its action within the designated time frame, which is currently well past due.

argentina_flag
Ag Perspective on Argentina’s Massive Currency Devaluation

Argentina’s government devalued its currency by nearly 18% on Monday while the benchmark interest rate was raised by 21 percentage points to 118%

Romania Aims to Double Ukrainian Grain Transit Capacity
Romania Aims to Double Ukrainian Grain Transit Capacity

Romania aims to double the monthly transit capacity of Ukrainian grain to its port of Constanta to 4 MMT in the coming months.

oil refinery
Global Oil Demand Hits All-Time High

World oil demand will reach a record 102.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, up 2.2 million bpd from last year, the International Energy Agency forecast, driven by strong consumption in China and other regions.

Corn Outlook for the Next 5, 30 and 90 Days (8/11)
Corn Outlook for the Next 5, 30 and 90 Days (8/11)

Market outlook and key price drivers over the next 5, 30 and 90 day segments.

U.S. Budget Deficit Expands | August 11, 2023
U.S. Budget Deficit Expands | August 11, 2023

Corn and rice crops in China take a hit, a vessel carrying Polish wheat may spark EU tension and Biden calls China, "bad folks"...

SovEcon Raises Ukraine Grain Production, Corn Export Forecasts
SovEcon Raises Ukraine Grain Production, Corn Export Forecasts

SovEcon increased its Ukraine grain production forecasts for corn, wheat and barley.

Conab Raises Brazilian Corn Crop, Export Forecasts
Conab Raises Brazilian Corn Crop, Export Forecasts

Brazilian crop estimating agency Conab raised its official corn and soybean crop estimates.

Record June Pork Exports
Record June Pork Exports

The U.S. exported 583.9 million lbs. of pork in June. While that was down 34.2 million lbs. (5.5%) from May, it was up 50.7 million lbs. (9.5%) from last year and a record for June.

Soybean Traders Await Friday's USDA Report
Soybean Traders Await Friday's USDA Report

Since 2000 the USDA U.S. soybean production forecast has been above the trade average estimate eight times and below 15 times.

UAC Warns of Reduced Ukrainian Wheat Quality
UAC Warns of Reduced Ukrainian Wheat Quality

UAC said, “The key problem with the new harvest was its poor quality...

Firms Raise Russian Wheat Export Forecasts
Firms Raise Russian Wheat Export Forecasts

SovEcon says reduced competition from Ukraine and increased demand from northern African countries will aid Russian wheat exports.

Iowa, Nebraska Sue EPA Over Year-Round E15 Delay
Iowa, Nebraska Sue EPA Over Year-Round E15 Delay

Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird and Nebraska Attorney General Mike Hilgers filed suit in federal court against EPA to protect the rights of their governors under the federal Clean Air Act.

Update on U.S./Mexico GMO Corn Dispute
Update on U.S./Mexico GMO Corn Dispute

The U.S. rejected Mexico’s proposal to jointly research the health effects of genetically modified (GM) corn, according to Reuters and Mexico media.

Soybean Analysis - 5-30-90 Day Outlooks (8/4)
Soybean Analysis - 5-30-90 Day Outlooks (8/4)

Soybeans were able to secure follow-through gains to end the week, along with an advanced technical posture, with a close held above the 40- and 200-day moving averages.

U.S. Leads Charge Trying to Combat Use of Food as a Weapon
U.S. Leads Charge Trying to Combat Use of Food as a Weapon

In a move to combat the use of food as a weapon, the U.S. is stepping forward to lead an international initiative supported by over 75 countries.

Have Payment Yields Kept Up With Actual Crop Yields
Have Payment Yields Kept Up With Actual Crop Yields

The observed increase in Payment Yields during the timeframe appears quite significant for specific crops.

Debate Over Ethanol Qualifying for SAF Credits
Debate Over Ethanol Qualifying for SAF Credits

There’s an ongoing debate within the Biden administration about the role of ethanol in qualifying for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) tax credits.

Corn-for-Ethanol Use Slightly Below Expectations
Corn-for-Ethanol Use Slightly Below Expectations

Corn-for-ethanol use totaled 441.5 million bu. in June, according to USDA, 2.7 million bu. less than expected.

Cattle Futures Surge, Reversing Recent Consolidation Trend
Cattle Futures Surge, Reversing Recent Consolidation Trend

Cattle futures surged today, reversing the recent consolidation trend as prices traded at the highest level since July 24.

Q2 Gold Demand Falls | August 1, 2023
Q2 Gold Demand Falls | August 1, 2023

Crop conditions continue lower, China fights yuan depreciation and cash hogs rebound slightly...

Wheat Prices Hit Two-Week Lows
Wheat Prices Hit Two-Week Lows

December SRW wheat dropped 36 1/4 cents to $6.91 3/4 and nearer the session low. December HRW wheat closed down 39 3/4 cents at $8.29 1/2. Prices closed nearer their session lows and hit two-week lows today.

China Remains World’s Top Meat Importer
China Remains World’s Top Meat Importer

China has maintained its position as the world’s largest meat importer since 2019, despite a recent decrease in imported meat volumes, according to a USDA Economic Research Service report.

Corn Market Outlook: 5-30-90 Days (7/28/23)
Corn Market Outlook: 5-30-90 Days (7/28/23)

December corn futures fell 12 1/4 cents, before settling at $5.21, ultimately falling 15 1/4 cents on the week.

Zeihan on ‘The End of Ukrainian Agriculture’
Zeihan on ‘The End of Ukrainian Agriculture’

Peter Zeihan, an American author on geopolitics, writes Ukrainian agriculture is facing a severe threat after Russia exited the Black Sea grain deal and has attacked Ukrainian grain infrastructure.

Spending Disputes Stall Legislation | July 28, 2023
Spending Disputes Stall Legislation | July 28, 2023

Thompson looks for September Farm Bill markup, House Ag committee works to regulate cryptocurrencies and African nations urge Putin to end Ukrainian conflict...

Soybean Analysis - Wed, July 27
Soybean Analysis - Wed, July 27

November soybeans fell 22 cents to $13.98, ending the session below the 10-day moving average and near the session low.

Farm Bill Surprise Push
Farm Bill Surprise Push

Politico reports that House Ag Committee member Greg Casar is introducing two new bills, targeting large agricultural corporations that have significant influence on the farm bill reauthorization.

Fed Backs-away from Recession Predictions | July 27, 2023
Fed Backs-away from Recession Predictions | July 27, 2023

Wheat Tour finds yield potential above 5-year average, Putin offers to provide grain to Africa and Russian submarine shells Odessa Port...

Reduction in Ships Allowed to Navigate Panama Canal
Reduction in Ships Allowed to Navigate Panama Canal

The Panama Canal Authority announced a reduction in the average daily number of ships allowed to navigate the canal, lowering the figure from 35-36 to 32 starting July 30.

Senate Easily Passes Restrictions on U.S. Farmland Purchases
Senate Easily Passes Restrictions on U.S. Farmland Purchases

The Senate on Tuesday easily cleared an amendment to the National Defense Authorization Act barring investors from China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea from purchasing U.S. farmland.

Brazil’s Paranagua Port Export Volumes Reach 50-Year High
Brazil’s Paranagua Port Export Volumes Reach 50-Year High

Officials at the publicly owned port cited a significant increase in grain shipments across the board, but highlighted soybeans.

Hog and Pork Complex Sustaining Its Summer Rally
Hog and Pork Complex Sustaining Its Summer Rally

The hog and pork complex is sustaining its summer rally, with nearby August futures adding another $1.55 to $101.65 Tuesday.

Crop Conditions Lag Year-ago | July 25, 2023
Crop Conditions Lag Year-ago | July 25, 2023

Yuan jumps to 1-month high, economists trim recession expectations and USDA will detail frozen meat stocks this afternoon...

Surge in Wheat Futures
Surge in Wheat Futures

December SRW wheat surged 59 3/4 to $7.77 1/2 and closed at a five-month high close. December HRW wheat gained 58 1/2 cents to $9.25 1/4 and hit an eight-month high.

Bill Introduced on Foreign Ownership of U.S. Farmland
Bill Introduced on Foreign Ownership of U.S. Farmland

Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) introduced a new bipartisan bill, the Farmland Security Act of 2023, seeking to further boost transparency in foreign ownership of U.S. farmland.

Attention Will Turn Back to the Balance Sheet
Attention Will Turn Back to the Balance Sheet

Corn outlook and market keys for the next 5, 30 and 90 day segments.

Russia Continues Odessa Assault | July 21, 2023
Russia Continues Odessa Assault | July 21, 2023

U.S. extends invitation to Chinese ag Minister, Senators introduce bill on foreign farmland ownership and USDA is expected to show feedlot inventories down year-on-year...

crop insurance
Crop Insurance Measure Proposed

To encourage fair treatment of specialty crop and small farmers, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Rep. Andrea Salinas (D-Ore.) are proposing a new bill: the Insuring Fairness for Family Farmers Act (IFFFA).

IGC Raises Global Corn Production Outlook, Cuts Wheat and Soybean Forecasts
IGC Raises Global Corn Production Outlook, Cuts Wheat and Soybean Forecasts

The International Grains Council (IGC) raised its forecast for 2023-24 global corn production to 1.22 billion metric tons, reflecting an improved outlook for the United States.

Asia Seeking Alternative Wheat Sources | July 20, 2023
Asia Seeking Alternative Wheat Sources | July 20, 2023

Russia continues port assault, Canadian Union calls 'stand-down' on strike and traders await seasonal low in wholesale beef...

USDA's New Farmer Seed Liaison
USDA's New Farmer Seed Liaison

USDA launched an initiative called the Farmer Seed Liaison, aimed at reducing confusion for growers, plant breeders, and others involved in the complex seed system.

Sustained Cash Strength Likely Boosted August Lean Hog Contract
Sustained Cash Strength Likely Boosted August Lean Hog Contract

Traders are probably correct to anticipate a seasonal downturn, but we’re not convinced the likely summer peak will come as early as they expect.

Brazil Grain Exports at Record Levels, Yet July Shipments to Drop
Brazil Grain Exports at Record Levels, Yet July Shipments to Drop

Brazil is poised to export a record 18.3 MMT of soybeans, soymeal, corn and wheat in July. . .