Latest News From Pro Farmer Analysis

Russia Shells Odessa as Deal Closes | July 18, 2023
Russia Shells Odessa as Deal Closes | July 18, 2023

Corn, soybeans and wheat firm overnight, Cordonnier leaves U.S. crop estimates unchanged and refiners to sue EPA over SREs...

November Soybean Futures Continue to Climb Higher
November Soybean Futures Continue to Climb Higher

November soybean futures continue to climb higher but were unable to maintain last night’s gap higher caused by increased geopolitical risk around the Black Sea.

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Global Trade Landscape Continues to Face Difficulties

Exports have generally suffered across the world, except in regions dominated by the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) led by Russia, and in China.

Wheat Analysis: 5-30-90 Day Outlook (7/14)
Wheat Analysis: 5-30-90 Day Outlook (7/14)

Friday’s technically bullish weekly high closes in winter wheat futures suggest follow-through chart-based buying next week.

Soybean Traders Seemingly Shake Off Supply and Demand Data
Soybean Traders Seemingly Shake Off Supply and Demand Data

Soybeans were able to regain Wednesday’s losses following USDA’s bearish supply and demand data. Traders are seemingly shaking off the data and turning their focus toward late-July and August weather.

Vilsack: Climate Change Solutions Can Boost Farm Revenue
Vilsack: Climate Change Solutions Can Boost Farm Revenue

USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack said tackling climate change can boost farm revenue through the adoption of climate-smart practices.

Oil Demand Forecast at Record Level | July 13, 2023
Oil Demand Forecast at Record Level | July 13, 2023

U.N. levers SWIFT in Black Sea Deal negotiations, Russia works to trade in local currencies and pork cutout values turn softer...

UN Asks Russia to Extend Black Sea Grain Deal in Exchange for Concessions
UN Asks Russia to Extend Black Sea Grain Deal in Exchange for Concessions

UN Secretary-General Guterres has proposed to Russian President Putin that he extend the Black Sea grain deal in exchange for connecting a subsidiary of Russia’s agricultural bank. . .

Ag Water Act Introduced
Ag Water Act Introduced

Three senators introduced the Voluntary Groundwater Conservation Act, aiming to provide family farmers and ranchers with more flexibility to protect groundwater resources while maintaining their agricultural lands.

China Cuts Cotton Import Forecast | July 12, 2023
China Cuts Cotton Import Forecast | July 12, 2023

Goldman cuts China economic forecasts, Federal Budget Deficit surges year-on-year and USDA will update balance sheets at 11am CT...

Renewed Wholesale Strength Seemed to Trigger a Fresh Surge in Hog Futures
Renewed Wholesale Strength Seemed to Trigger a Fresh Surge in Hog Futures

Renewed wholesale strength seemed to trigger a fresh surge in hog futures, with today’s big gains projecting sustained cash market strength over the short run.

Russia Ignites Odessa Grain Terminal | July 11, 2023
Russia Ignites Odessa Grain Terminal | July 11, 2023

Lending in China surges, U.S. crops stabilize and Canadian port strikes threaten to stall economy...

U.S. Beef Industry Challenged by a Strong Preference for Chicken
U.S. Beef Industry Challenged by a Strong Preference for Chicken

Chicken’s popularity has increased greatly due to its use in home cooking, processed foods and restaurants. The beef industry has struggled to rebrand and innovate.

Soy Complex Starts Week with Steady Gains
Soy Complex Starts Week with Steady Gains

Trade started the week off strong with steady gains across the board as forecasts turn hot and dry next week.

Per-Capita Meat Consumption Expected to Drop in Wealthier Countries
Per-Capita Meat Consumption Expected to Drop in Wealthier Countries

Despite long-standing trends showing an increase in meat consumption as countries’ incomes rise, a shift seems to be occurring.

Tai Talks Trade with Mexico | July 7, 2023
Tai Talks Trade with Mexico | July 7, 2023

Mexico publishes modification on GMO policy, Ukraine applies to trade group and U.N. food price index falls...

With the First Summer Rally Behind Us, What's Next for Corn?
With the First Summer Rally Behind Us, What's Next for Corn?

We share fresh outlook for the corn market broken down into the next 5, 30 and 90 day segments.

Cash Cattle Market Fundamentals are Starting to Weaken Just a Bit
Cash Cattle Market Fundamentals are Starting to Weaken Just a Bit

The cattle futures markets saw profit-taking pressure today after recent gains.

U.S.M.C.A. Summit Underway | July 6, 2023
U.S.M.C.A. Summit Underway | July 6, 2023

Romania expects record outflows at port, Yellen arrives in China and congress will look at ESG investing...

Democratic Reps: Biden’s EV Plan Threatens Rural America
Democratic Reps: Biden’s EV Plan Threatens Rural America

The lawmakers’ primary concern is the risk this plan may pose to rural America due to insufficient EV charging infrastructure.

Wheat Futures Surged Today Amid Corrective Buying
Wheat Futures Surged Today Amid Corrective Buying

September SRW futures rose 32 1/2 cents before settling at $6.74 1/4. September HRW futures led the complex higher, rallying 49 3/4 cents before closing at $8.46 1/4.

Consumer Sentiment Hits Highest Level Since January
Consumer Sentiment Hits Highest Level Since January

U.S. consumer sentiment increased 5.2 points (8.8%) in June to a reading of 64.4, according to the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers.

Soybean Outlook for the Next 90 Days (6/30/23)
Soybean Outlook for the Next 90 Days (6/30/23)

With notably smaller soybean acres, weather over the next month will be especially significant.

Eurozone Inflation Softens | June 30, 2023
Eurozone Inflation Softens | June 30, 2023

USDA to update balance sheets today, states appeal to Federal Judge to overrule WOTUS and Argy wheat production is expected to recover...

IGC Cuts Global Corn Crop Forecast
IGC Cuts Global Corn Crop Forecast

The International Grains Council (IGC) cut its 2023-24 global corn crop forecast, reflecting reduced production potential in the U.S. due to drought conditions.

Winter Wheat Futures Markets Were Again Pulled Down
Winter Wheat Futures Markets Were Again Pulled Down

The winter wheat futures markets were again pulled down by another solid drop in corn futures prices. Weekly U.S. wheat sales were also disappointing.

Major Banks Pass Stress Test | June 29, 2023

CBO releases new budget, USMCA members to hold regular confab and the U.S. hog herd is expected to shrink...

Mexico Benefits From Supply-Chain Revamp
Mexico Benefits From Supply-Chain Revamp

Mexico has been a key beneficiary of reworking the global supply chains that has seen companies find ways to be closer to the U.S. economy.

The Flush in Grain and Soybean Complex Futures Markets Continued Today
The Flush in Grain and Soybean Complex Futures Markets Continued Today

The flush in the grain and soybean complex futures markets continued at mid-week, with weak long liquidation featured amid weather forecasts that have added better precipitation chances for the Midwest.

Lithium Shortage May Stall EV Production | June 28, 2023
Lithium Shortage May Stall EV Production | June 28, 2023

Black Sea deal extension hopes fade, Canadian all wheat crop expected to shrink slightly and China's industrial profits off double-digits in May...

No Trade is Free
No Trade is Free

Former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer released his book, No Trade is Free. Some nuggets:

UK Pushes Back on IRA Subsidies | June 27, 2023
UK Pushes Back on IRA Subsidies | June 27, 2023

Cordonnier lowers US crop estimates again, China plans to release cotton from State Stockpiles and McConnell expresses interest in moving Farm Bill forward...

Vilsack Announces Initial Biofuels Plans for IRA Funds
Vilsack Announces Initial Biofuels Plans for IRA Funds

In July, USDA will accept applications for $450 million in Higher Blends Infrastructure Incentive Program (HBIIP) grants to further support biofuel-related infrastructure.

Soybean Bulls Reverse Losses
Soybean Bulls Reverse Losses

Soybean futures saw gains today, especially in old crop futures as bulls reversed losses from late last week.

Corn Outlook for the Next 5, 30 and 90 Days
Corn Outlook for the Next 5, 30 and 90 Days

Next Friday’s acreage and Quarterly stocks reports are known as severe market catalysts that can change the trend of a market.

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EPA Says SAF Will Reduce Renewable Diesel Production

EPA assumes there will be rising production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), but that will cut into renewable diesel production.

Market Fundamentals Presently Lean Bullish for Wheat
Market Fundamentals Presently Lean Bullish for Wheat

Wheat market bulls fared pretty well today given the solid losses scored in the corn and soybean futures markets.

EPA will stop granting SREs
EPA will stop granting SREs

The Clean Air Act (CAA) allowed for exemptions to be granted for small refiners, a topic that has become controversial in recent years, prompting EPA to reverse some prior granted small refinery exemptions (SREs).

Brazilian Soybeans Flood Chinese Ports
Brazilian Soybeans Flood Chinese Ports

A flood of Brazilian soybean cargoes into China is weighing on soymeal purchases and may curb buying of beans later in the year, traders and analysts told Reuters.

A Bull-Blown Weather Market is Playing Out
A Bull-Blown Weather Market is Playing Out

A bull-blown weather market is playing out in the soybean and corn futures markets, which propelled soybeans and meal today.

pC12 Banking on Biofuels 1
EPA Will Reportedly Increase 2023 Biofuels Mandates

EPA plans to increase the amount of biofuel blending volumes for 2023 versus its proposed levels, but plans to reduce volumes in 2024 and 2025.

Continued Weakness Across the Cattle and Beef Complex
Continued Weakness Across the Cattle and Beef Complex

Cash and wholesale conditions seem to favor continued weakness across the cattle and beef complex.

USDA’s Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports Will be a Major Market Driver
USDA’s Acreage and Quarterly Stocks Reports Will be a Major Market Driver

Recap of this week's price action with 5, 30 and 90 day outlook for soybeans.

EATS Act Introduced to Counter Prop 12
EATS Act Introduced to Counter Prop 12

In response to California’s Proposition 12, Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) introduced the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act today.

Port Workers Reach Labor Deal | June 15, 2023
Port Workers Reach Labor Deal | June 15, 2023

Kremlin pessimistic on export deal, Rosario Grain Exchange cuts Argy soybean forecast and Wal Mart announces plan to open Kansas beef packaging facility...

Weather Continues to be a Market Driver
Weather Continues to be a Market Driver

Wednesday's fundamental and technical analysis for corn.

Soy Complex Edges Higher, Led by a Surge in Soybean Futures
Soy Complex Edges Higher, Led by a Surge in Soybean Futures

The soy complex edged higher, led by a surge in soybean futures amid a second week of lower-than-expected government ratings and supportive outside markets.

Xi Warns of Extreme Conditions | June 13, 2023
Xi Warns of Extreme Conditions | June 13, 2023

Cordonnier trims U.S. crop outlook, CCI ratings trail year-ago and China's Central Bank lowers rates...

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Renewable Diesel Industry Urging EPA to Increase Biofuel Targets

EPA’s proposed RVOs are considered outdated, as they don’t take into account the expected growth in renewable diesel production capacity.

Proposed 60% Tax on Land Purchases by U.S. Adversaries
Proposed 60% Tax on Land Purchases by U.S. Adversaries

House Ways and Means Committee Chair, Rep. Jason Smith, has sponsored a bill that seeks to prevent foreign adversaries from acquiring U.S. agricultural land.