Markets - General
Markets can tell a story, especially after a journey through headwinds, political strife and wars. March soybeans did that in 2022.
Ag families experience recessions most tangibly through their non-farm personal connections, making them worth watching, regardless of farm economics.
Technically speaking the price action of Chicago, Kansas City and Minneapolis wheat varieties are signaling a change is coming — one that might not be recognized until the price ship has sailed.
Here are the key market headwinds ahead for the cattle industry.
It didn’t start with the swing of an ax in the Amazon or by an explosion in Kiev. Both contributed, but the shifts in global grain flows is a multifaceted prism through which the future is continuing to evolve.
The value of capital assets and cash flow were concerns in 2008 — just as they are today. The evolution of dealing with inflation has yet to impact ag directly, but history shows a wake-up call is in process.
There is now a dollar value assigned to grain carbon intensity scores below 29 in the form of tax credits to biofuel plants that buy grain as part of their decarbonization efforts.
Jon Scheve discusses the recent USDA report and shows how demand issues may impact corn and bean prices over the next few months.
Arlan Suderman, StoneX Group, and DuWayne Bosse, Bolt Marketing, debate USDA’s WASDE numbers.
Following the bearish report on Wednesday, grain markets closed higher for the week, which, according to Jerry Gulke, signals the market might believe there is more downside to yield.
After the June report, traders prepared for a “new” trading environment with “burdensome” corn supplies and “pipeline” soybean supplies. Then came the anticlimactic July report.
Jon Scheve discusses bean highlights from the recent USDA report and estimates where bean prices will go based upon different national yield averages.
The next opportunity for USDA to adjust its corn yield forecast is next week during the July WASDE report. Currently, USDA has penciled in a 181.5 bu. per acre national yield, but analysts think it may be too optimistic.
The National Drought Mitigation Center estimates 67% of corn and 60% of soybeans are still considered to be in drought, a slight improvement from last week when drought covered 70% of corn and 63% of soybeans.
Jon Scheve shares highlights from last week’s USDA report and futures projections based upon different national yield averages.
USDA released a few big surprises in the June acreage report, including a spike in corn acres and a large reduction in soybean acres. The agency also forecasts grain stocks below trade expectations.
USDA’s June Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports resulted in a bullish surprise for soybeans and bearish news for corn. In an already volatile grain market, the supply situation is problematic.
The Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor is a new survey of nearly 50 economists. Most ag economists agree the next 12 months could produce more financial pressure for agriculture, but their views vary depending on commodity.
After a record-breaking planting pace for a lot of farmers, optimism seems to be shifting as the drought expands across the Midwest.
Jon Scheve discusses how the upcoming USDA report could impact prices. Plus some recent trade he made and why.
Corn prices fell more than 30 cents on Friday, a change from the rapid run-up in prices the past two weeks, but even with chances of rain across the northern Corn Belt, drought continues to eat away at crop conditions.
Drought is deepening across the Midwest with 64% of the corn crop and 57% of the soybean crop across the U.S. now covered in drought, a sizable jump in just a week after NASS showed a historic drop in condition ratings.
AgDay TV Markets Now: DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says corn and soybeans ended slightly higher but off highs with profit taking and hedge selling. But will retest those areas with lower crop ratings.
Jon Scheve discusses how mid-June traditionally is a good time to sell new crop corn.
The U.S. and China have reportedly made “progress” and agreed to stabilize their relationship, but no major breakthroughs were outlined during the two-day meeting between U.S. and China high-ranking officials.
Corn and soybeans are in a full-blown weather rally. After a sharply higher week, what should farmers watch for to decide when to market their crops?
November soybeans shot up $1 in just two days. The December corn contract skyrocketed 50 cents during the time. Drought and dryness concerns are fueling the grain markets, is it only weather impacting prices?
Jon Scheve discusses what is impacting prices right now. Plus, his final 2023 bean futures price.
Last week, 34% of the U.S. corn crop was covered in drought, and this week it jumped to 45%. The second crop conditions ratings of the season from USDA-NASS confirmed dryness is starting to deteriorate crop conditions.
Much of the eastern Corn Belt is currently experiencing drought. Dry conditions have been parked in the western region even longer. Low subsoil moisture is a concern, and short-term dryness is compounding the issue.