Weekend Market Report
Stay updated on grain markets with AgWeb’s Weekend Market Report by Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group.
Thanksgiving normally marks a change in direction for the grain markets. Jerry Gulke sets the stage for this year’s potential moves.
If you have unpriced old-crop corn, you’re not alone. Jerry Gulke provides his tips for post-harvest grain marketing and how to approach your 2023 plan.
The grain markets this week had trading ranges typical of a daily range a few months past. They appear to be calming down ahead of USDA’s February reports and USDA’s Ag Outlook Forum, says Jerry Gulke.
“There’s a place that you put on risk and there’s a place that you take it off. So, we decided to take some money off and put in the bank,” says Jerry Gulke, president of Gulke Group.
The situation in the grain markets this spring looks much different than a year ago, says Jerry Gulke, president of Gulke Group. Unfortunately, the picture is not as price positive for the 2023 crops.
The grain markets are focused on planting progress — or the lack thereof. Jerry Gulke says the markets are building in weather premium as progress could see delays periodically especially in northern areas.
Sometimes it isn’t a matter of what direction prices are headed but where they are not headed. USDA has shaved demand, especially in corn. The long-term outlook might show corn prices have lower targets yet to come.
Technically speaking the price action of Chicago, Kansas City and Minneapolis wheat varieties are signaling a change is coming — one that might not be recognized until the price ship has sailed.
The value of capital assets and cash flow were concerns in 2008 — just as they are today. The evolution of dealing with inflation has yet to impact ag directly, but history shows a wake-up call is in process.
Following the bearish report on Wednesday, grain markets closed higher for the week, which, according to Jerry Gulke, signals the market might believe there is more downside to yield.