Wheat
USDA provides a bullish surprise on corn and soybean yields and ending stocks but little change on wheat. Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net breaks down the report.
Mark Knight with Farmer’s Keeper Financial says grains open mixed digesting strong weekly exports and positioning ahead of the FOMC announcement and WASDE.
Darren Frye, Water Street Solutions, says it was an impressive that grains, especially the soybean complex, shook off the election results, possible tariff hikes and a sharply higher dollar.
Kevin Duling with KD Investors says grains started off lower with soybeans seeing double digit gains on the possibility of increased tariffs and a trade war with China, then bounced off the lows.
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says grains and livestock markets are positioning ahead of the election, FOMC announcement and the WASDE on Friday.
Mark Schultz with Northstar Commodity says strong demand continues to support corn and soybeans but it hasn’t been enough to push prices above chart resistance.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says corn and soybeans were supported by strong demand initially but ended off highs running into chart resistance and on election jitters. After another volatile day in cattle is the market topping?
Darin Newsom, Sr. Market Analyst with Barchart says some of the early support in the grain markets Friday morning is coming from strong export demand.
The $700 million deal frees AGCO up to focus on its machinery and precision ag technology products.
Mike Zuzulo, Global Commodity Analytics, says wheat led gains putting in risk premium on the low crop rating which triggers some short covering and corn followed.
Grain futures are seeing corrective buying, bouncing off technical support says Kent Beadle with Paradigm Futures.
Arlan Suderman with StoneX says grains saw technical and risk off selling from sharply lower crude oil. However, improved rains in South America were also a factor.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says price performance might have been a little disappointing but that’s because of USDA’s lofty ending stocks estimates at nearly 2 billion bushels for corn and 550 million bushels for soybeans.
Bryan Doherty, Total Farm Marketing, says grains saw profit taking on Friday after hitting chart resistance and a pick up in farmer selling.
Rich Nelson of Allendale says corn and soybeans showed resilience rallying into the close on strong demand. However, he thinks it may be exporters front loading their purchases. Cattle reverse in reaction to the McDonald’s E.coli story.
Alan Brugler, A and N Economics, LLC says grains are caught in a tug of war between farmer selling and strong cash basis levels due to strong demand.
Craig Turner with StoneX says grains saw technical buying off support areas but demand is also strong.
Allison Thompson with The Money Farm says corn and soybeans bounced off chart support and are seeing fund short covering but also strong end user buyer with another 14.2 million bushels of corn sold to Mexico.
Dave Chatterton, Strategic Farm Marketing, says row crops are in a tug of war that could keep the markets sideways for a while.
Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says grains faded bullish export news and closed lower Friday and for the week.
Craig Turner of StoneX says end users have seen current grain prices as a value which has supported the markets and if you add in inflation grains could be carving out new trading ranges.
Grains reverse to close higher Thursday as Darin Newsom with Barchart says end user or commercial buying stepped in. He says there is strong demand for corn in soybeans at current price levels which is a bullish sign.
Garrett Toay, AgTraderTalk, says corn and wheat traded higher on technical or corrective buying as well as big flash export sales, noteably to Mexico.
Kent Beadle of Paradigm Futures says grains saw follow through selling pressure after a lower day Friday. The complex also saw spillover from the risk off day in outside markets including the higher dollar and lower crude oil.
Unlike some past years, the October report didn’t provide much for the bulls or the bears. USDA did raise corn yield 0.2 bu. per acre to a record 183.8 bu. and lowered soybean yield 0.1 bu. per acre to 53.1 bu.
Oliver Sloup, Blue Line Futures says after a non eventful WASDE, grains saw some profit taking heading into the weekend with row crops seeing harvest pressure.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle futures need to take out the next layer of chart resistance to move higher. Grains continue to add war and weather premium and that shouldn’t change unless the WASDE is extremely bearish.
John Heinberg with Total Farm Marketing says the row crop markets are seeing continued pressure from three main fundamentals.
Darin Newsom with Barchart says wheat is higher adding war premium but soybeans and corn are seeing harvest pressure and trading South American weather.
Brian Grete, Pro Farmer, says wheat was supported by light fund short covering as traders were adding in some geopolitical risk premium.