Markets
Today’s commodity market news. Featuring expert analysis from Michelle Rook, Jerry Gulke and Pro Farmer Editors.
Grain & livestock futures are mostly higher. Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle are at a discount to steady to higher cash which is supportive, Hogs see short covering. Grains continue to add risk premium.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, says if rains continue to delay planting and wheat areas like Russia and the Southwest Plains miss forecasted rains that could continue to drive buying interest in the grains.
Grains end higher on Friday after the WASDE but was the market trading the report or was it weather and fund short covering? Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing, has more plus talks cattle.
Soybean production is cut; and a Brazilian soy crusher halted operations amid severe flooding.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says in the report USDA finally rectified the old crop corn carryover figure trimming it by 100 million bushels with an increase in demand.
As corn and soy prices hit a three-year low, farmers are less inclined to invest in new machinery, leading to an inventory surplus and reduced sales for equipment dealers. Notably...
Grains higher post-WASDE. U.S. numbers came in friendly for corn, neutral for wheat but bearish for soybeans. So, is the market trading the report or is it fund short covering? Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, has more.
Cattle and hogs both try to bounce but the cattle market lacks confidence due to bird flu says Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains higher but can those gains hold in the face of a potentially bearish WASDE?
Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says grain prices are well off their lows on crop concerns but he cautions farmers weather markets can be volatile and fleeting.
Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says the early new crop estimates for the May WASDE are larger than last year which is potentially bearish, but still in line with the USDA Ag Outlook Forum.
Looking ahead, three special elections are scheduled in districts that traditionally lean Republican, potentially expanding the GOP’s majority.
The fate of the tax incentives beyond 2027 is another major uncertainty.
Arlan Suderman, ,StoneX, says the rally into new highs for the move was met with farmer selling and funds took a pause heading into the WASDE, but they may not be done lightening their short position.
Grains ease on Tuesday on farmer selling and lack of fund buying. Arlan Suderman with StoneX says weather concerns may be priced in until after the WASDE.
According to a recent update from the OECD, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Trade Organization, global trade is projected to experience a significant rebound this year.
Tomm Pfitzenmaier, Summit Commodity Brokerage, says grains mixed as fund buying pauses and with increased farmer selling. Markets are watching weather, WASDE. Livestock see a Turnaround Tuesday bounce.
Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, says it’s the combination of weather and production concerns globally and in the U.S. that have finally caught the grain market’s attention and will dictate how high prices go.
Grains rally on weather and technical buying. Will funds keep covering their short positions with the chart breakouts and what kind of rally could that produce? Tommy Grisafi, Advance Trading, has answers.
The U.S. rebuttal on Mexico’s GMO corn ban for food use argues Mexico’s submission to the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) panel contains factual and legal inaccuracies.
Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle are trading more H5N1 headlines and disregarding higher cash, hogs are following. Grains are adding weather premium, but he cautions weather rallies are fleeting.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities, says grain markets are trading weather and have had some chart breakouts. That could keep funds buying but only if weather continues to be bullish.
Corn, soybean and soybean meal futures posted higher weekly closes, but it’s hard to predict how far the grain markets could rally, says Jerry Gulke. “Now it becomes more of an art than a science,” he adds.
Grains ended higher on Friday with chart breakouts on weather and crop concerns, plus fund short covering. Cattle mixed, hogs. lower.
Whenever the scores are released, they could show another hefty increase for food and nutrition spending, paid in part by the way her bill alters the Title I safety net programs.
Grain markets have been rallying this week on weather and crop concerns and it’s not just wheat. Eric Snodgrass, Senior Science Fellow, Nutrien Ag Solutions, talks about Northern and Southern Hemisphere weather.
Grains continue higher with weather concerns in the U.S. and SA, a lower dollar and funds are covering shorts with the stronger technical action says Darin Newsom with Barchart. Will the funds eventually buy grains?
John Payne, Advance Trading, says soybeans and soybean meal led the grain rally Thursday on short covering and adding weather premium with heavy rains and flooding in southern Brazil and parts of Argentina.
The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange cut its Argentine corn crop estimate another 3 MMT.
John Payne, Advance Trading says grains rally on fund short covering and weather, with a higher day in cattle and lower close in cotton....again.
Members of Teamsters Canada have authorized strike actions at the nation’s two major railroads, Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City.