Market Analysis
Dave Chatterton with Strategic Farm Marketing says the grain markets were supported by money flow and funds were buying adding risk premium tied to war, inflation fears with soaring energy prices and weather.
Grains were higher Wednesday with new contract highs in hard red winter wheat and December corn according to Mark Knight with Farmer’s Keeper Financial. Live cattle were also making new highs on record cash.
Randy Martinson with Martinson Ag says the wheat market is adding risk premium tied to weather and global production and geopolitical concerns and could continue to pull corn higher.
Lane Akre, economist with Pro Farmer, says says the wheat market could take out the March highs and help pull corn higher. He thinks markets are trading global production concerns.
The grain and livestock futures saw commodity wide fund buying with a risk on tone to the market according to DuWayne Bosse with Bolt Marketing.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says some of the recovery is technical in nature as the June live cattle bounce off of key support and the 38% retracement level around $243.00 last Thursday. However, there are also fundamental reasons for bounce.
Darren Frye with Water Street Solutions says corn and wheat are trading weather and have divorced from the war headlines.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says $243 was the line in the sand for the June live cattle or funds would liquidate and it held after Brooke Rollins canceled her trip to Arizona which alleviated fears of a border reopening.
Garrett Toay with AgTraderTalk says the HRW wheat market was adding weather premium with forecasts continuing to look hot and dry for the Southern Plains.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst with Barchart, says wheat is holding weather premium with the deteriorating crop conditions but longer term higher energy prices could spark some inflationary buying in grains.