Market Analysis
Kevin Duling, KD Investors, says corn is trying to bounce Wednesday off of new contract lows scored in old crop futures and wheat is also trying to recover after new lows on Tuesday.
Matt Bennett, AgMarket.Net, says it was an ugly day in the grain markets with old crop corn making new contract lows once again with spillover pressure from wheat and a higher dollar.
Garrett Toay, AgTraderTalk, says corn and soybeans continued to push back towards recent lows on weather as areas of the Corn Belt saw rain over the weekend and the heat is starting to ease.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says both live and feeder cattle futures gapped higher into all-time and contract highs again on Monday morning on the heels of the bullish USDA Cattle on Feed and Cattle Inventory Reports. Grains opened lower as weather is trumping export and trade news.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says both live and feeder cattle futures had a nice recovery and got within striking distance of the all-time highs set earlier in the week.
Darin Newsom, Senior market analyst for Barchart, Inc. says grains are working on a lower weekly close this week with the early pressure Friday. Funds have had no reason to buy grains he says.
Jim McCormick, AgMarket.Net, says corn saw a dead cat bounce with 3-cent gains on light short covering and solid export news.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn saw some early strength bouncing off support areas on the charts but is struggling to hold gains due to mostly favorable extended weather forecasts.
Dan Basse, president, Ag Resource Company, says the grain markets faded the announcements regarding three trade deals, including Japan, due to the lack of details.
Bryan Doherty with Total Farm Marketing says soybeans are seeing a slight bounce early in the session on trade news.
Rich Nelson of Allendale, Inc. says funds returned to sell in corn and soybeans on weak technicals, weather and crop ratings.
Mike Minor, Professional Ag Marketing, says corn and soybeans continue to see fund selling and broke below key moving averages Tuesday morning.
Corn, soybeans and wheat ended lower on Monday seeing some profit taking after higher weekly closes in the grain complex last week according to Darren Frye, Water Street Solutions. Weather was also a factor.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle futures opened lower on Monday on follow through selling after the bearish reversals scored on Friday. Corn and soybeans fall with rains over the weekend in the Corn Belt.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says corn made a bullish weekly reversal and that technical action could signal a bottom in the market.
Don Roose, U.S. Commodities, says grain markets rallied Friday and were higher for the week. The markets saw technical buying and short covering as traders were adding weather premium in the corn market, and to some degree to soybeans. But is weather enough to bottom the market?
Naomi Blohm with Total Farm Marketing says corn took a break after a three-day rally running into chart resistance in the December contract around $4.25.
Randy Martinson, Martinson Ag, says corn tried to move higher early Thursday but the December contract is running into chart resistance with the 20-day moving average at $4.25. Can weather help the market get above this level?
Ted Seifried, Zaner Ag Hedge, says corn and to some degree soybeans, were adding weather premium as some heat comes is predicted for much of the Corn Belt in the extended forecasts. However, talk of China business also stirred up the trade.
Vince Boddicker, Farmers Trading Company, says corn is extending gains for a third day still seeing short covering. However, the corn and soybeans markets are adding some weather premium with extended forecasts looking hotter in the 11-15 day time period.
Chip Nellinger, Blue Reef Agri-Marketing says corn was able to build on Monday’s key reversals and close higher for a second day. However, without a weather problem what is the likelihood the market can sustain a rally?
Kent Beadle, Paradigm Futures, says corn and soybeans are seeing some pressure from weather and Monday’s strong crop ratings. Cattle recover with their discount to cash.
Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures are seeing some routine profit taking after hitting all-time and record highs again on Friday. Corn is seeing short covering off fresh contract lows but can it hold any gains?
Dave Chatterton, with Strategic Farm Marketing, says old and new crop corn both made new contract lows as the market faded the friendly ending stocks numbers in the July WASDE. He says the market was looking ahead with ideas of higher yields in future reports.
Jerry Gulke, president of the Gulke Group, says grains posted lower weekly closes as the markets were pressured by ideal weather and ideas of higher yields.
A look ahead at the next 5, 30 and 90 day segments for the soy market.
Live and feeder cattle futures opened lower on Friday but quickly turned higher with strong cash news according to Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek. Grains see pressure from weather and the risk off outside market influences tied to the proposed tariff increases on Canada to 35% by Aug. 1
DuWayne Bosse of Bolt Marketing says the bounce in the grain markets was mostly short covering heading into Friday’s WASDE Report. However, the market may not trade the report numbers long before it turns it attention back to weather.
Mark Knight with Farmer’s Keeper Financial says corn opened lower but was trying to recover early on short covering, but also following the strength in the wheat market. Soybeans fell further on tariff concerns.
Chuck Shelby with Risk Management Commodities says corn finally saw a light short covering bounce after making new contract lows again early Wednesday in both old and new crop contacts.