Market Analysis
Dan Basse: “Importantly, managed money is sitting on their largest net short CBOT grain position in four years.”
Naomi Blohm: “The U.S. soybean story remains quite friendly to start 2024 with historically small ending stocks and strong crush demand.”
Peter Meyer says, “Both the corn and soybean markets will need to take their lead from changes in both global and domestic demand given the production shortfall stories have become stale.”
Chip Nellinger says, “Producers should be prepared to be more aggressive than years past in protecting downside price risk.”
“Near term, the soybean market has a loftier perch with a tight balance sheet emerging from supply headwinds,” says Mike North.
“It’s difficult to find anything bullish to say about corn for 2024.” says Jon Scheve.
Angie Setzer says, “With their new trade agreement with Brazil, China is likely to import less corn from the U.S. in 2023.”
USDA’s final look at crop production for 2023 caught the commodity markets by surprise. The agency increased the final yield estimates for both corn and soybeans, and as a result, prices plummeted on Friday.
Jerry Gulke says a strong return to Marketing 101, last seen during the 1980s, may be on the horizon.
Despite the markets pricing in lower interest rates, Arlan Suderman expects inflation to rear its ugly head sometime in 2024.